NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	5.5 [683]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +15.5%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	2.5 [468]		LVP	Derrick McKey (IND): -13.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	13	69%	0.13	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.04
Travis Best	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	16	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	7	12%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.06	0.02	24	64%	0.17	1	-0.02	13	69%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	15	53%	0.07	4	-0.09	4	0%	-0.07
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	4	67%	-0.02	6	-0.10	4	100%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	55%	-0.03	5	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.4	26.5	15.5	24.9	1.7	25.7	118.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.5%

IND -6.8%

SAS +13.8%

IND -5.2%

SAS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.6	85.9	96.8	102.5
season	16.0	15.9		105.3	100.9
opponent	15.9	16.1		97.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	15.4	18.1	17.4	16.3
SAS	12.5	14.6	14.6	17.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	49	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-10	8	16.0	16.6	-0.56	13.4	16.1	-2.62
Jalen Rose	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.20	2	-14	16	16.0	16.6	-0.63	15.1	14.2	0.88
Fred Hoiberg	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-10	8	18.5	15.5	2.99	16.5	14.1	2.41
Travis Best	41	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-10	8	16.7	16.0	0.68	16.0	13.6	2.48
Rik Smits	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-1	-10	16.4	16.1	0.30	13.8	15.9	-2.17
Derrick McKey	38	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-9	6	16.1	16.4	-0.30	15.9	13.8	2.17
Mark Jackson	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-2	-8	16.0	16.7	-0.68	13.6	16.0	-2.48
Reggie Miller	69	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-2	-8	15.5	18.5	-2.99	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Chris Mullin	41	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	2	-16	16.6	16.0	0.63	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Antonio Davis	43	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	-4	-4	16.6	16.0	0.56	16.1	13.4	2.62

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	71	70	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.06	23	-11	34	14.9	14.2	0.70	16.6	15.3	1.27
David Robinson	75	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-6	24	14.6	15.2	-0.64	16.5	15.5	0.95
Tim Duncan	83	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-2	16	14.6	15.4	-0.75	16.3	15.8	0.53
Chuck Person	30	30	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	3	6	16.8	13.7	3.13	18.8	15.1	3.74
Avery Johnson	90	88	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	4	4	14.4	22.2	-7.88	15.8	27.0	-11.20
Cory Alexander	17	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	12	-12	18.5	13.9	4.60	18.9	15.6	3.24
Sean Elliott	68	66	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	8	-4	13.5	17.9	-4.40	15.3	18.8	-3.57
Will Perdue	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	18	-24	15.2	14.6	0.64	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Monty Williams	17	15	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	22	-32	13.5	15.0	-1.43	13.7	16.8	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 86, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SEA 80, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
MIA 78, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%