NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	6.6 [526]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +13.0%
San Antonio Spurs	102		Comeback	2.5 [1038]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHI): -18.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	17	60%	0.14	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Chasson Randle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Nik Stauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.06	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	10	41%	0.05	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Jahlil Okafor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
TJ McConnell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.05	-0.04	17	39%	-0.01	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	10	60%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.02	8	50%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	17	49%	0.11	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	7	76%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	60%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	8%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	3	22%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	3	50%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	30.6	15.4	25.3	2.5	30.6	131.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.9%

PHI -8.5%

SAS +3.1%

SAS +20.1%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	13.1	14.8	81.9	95.3	107.7
season	14.5	15.4		101.9	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.4		103.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	13.2	13.1	16.2	14.1
SAS	13.0	14.5	12.6	12.2	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chasson Randle	30	32	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-17	18	12.7	14.7	-1.93	14.8	12.3	2.54
Sergio Rodriguez	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-16	16	12.0	15.3	-3.31	13.8	12.7	1.11
Richaun Holmes	41	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-20	24	11.0	16.1	-5.19	13.6	12.7	0.97
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-8	0	13.0	15.9	-2.97	13.9	11.7	2.24
Jahlil Okafor	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-3	-10	16.8	11.5	5.30	13.0	13.1	-0.13
Dario Saric	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	1	-18	14.4	13.3	1.09	12.4	15.2	-2.76
TJ McConnell	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-2	-12	15.1	12.2	2.84	12.6	13.9	-1.30
Ersan Ilyasova	85	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	-1	-14	14.6	11.9	2.67	12.7	14.4	-1.70
Nik Stauskas	63	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	2	-20	15.0	12.8	2.21	12.3	14.2	-1.91

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-3	22	12.7	13.6	-0.90	16.0	11.3	4.71
Kyle Anderson	56	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	1	14	13.4	12.7	0.76	12.7	15.6	-2.94
Jonathon Simmons	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	5	6	12.5	13.4	-0.89	14.7	13.7	1.00
Dewayne Dedmon	46	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	-1	18	13.6	12.7	0.91	16.2	12.6	3.61
David Lee	43	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	12	-8	11.1	14.4	-3.34	12.7	15.0	-2.35
Tony Parker	55	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	9	-2	13.8	12.3	1.55	15.0	13.2	1.79
Patty Mills	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	10	-4	12.1	13.7	-1.61	13.4	14.6	-1.14
Kawhi Leonard	60	57	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	8	0	12.3	14.0	-1.70	14.2	14.0	0.17
Danny Green	62	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	10	-4	13.7	12.2	1.57	14.0	14.3	-0.36
Bryn Forbes	7	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	16	-16	14.1	13.0	1.15	12.6	14.2	-1.65
Manu Ginobili	19	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	20	-24	13.3	13.0	0.30	14.7	14.0	0.76
Dejounte Murray	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	20	-24	14.4	12.9	1.50	9.5	14.8	-5.22
Joel Anthony	27	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	21	-26	15.3	12.3	3.03	12.1	14.8	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIL 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.99,1	94.1%
ATL 78, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%