NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	67		Excitement	3.5 [1055]		MVP	A.C. Green (DAL): +9.1%
New York Knicks	79		Comeback	1.3 [1121]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -17.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.09	8	62%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	9	42%	-0.03	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Michael Finley	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.18	-0.04	-0.05	21	29%	-0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	80%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	20	45%	0.04	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	15	13%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.0	1.5	20.6	15.7	21.1	2.4	29.5	109.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +12.2%

DAL -9.2%

NYK +25.1%

NYK +19.9%

NYK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	21.0	16.4	15.6	87.0	102.6	102.5
season	15.8	15.7		98.3	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.5		98.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	22.8	20.8	24.3	16.7	21.0
NYK	13.9	19.2	14.8	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	16	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-14	16	17.2	22.0	-4.78	19.1	15.7	3.44
Hubert Davis	45	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-10	8	19.5	23.2	-3.62	17.2	15.2	2.01
Khalid Reeves	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	3	-18	23.5	17.8	5.69	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Robert Pack	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-5	-2	20.4	24.3	-3.90	16.0	18.2	-2.25
Dennis Scott	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	0	-12	21.2	18.7	2.57	16.3	17.2	-0.89
A.C. Green	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	2	-16	21.7	16.4	5.33	15.8	20.1	-4.29
Michael Finley	77	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	21.0	0.0	21.04	16.4	0.0	16.36

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-3	18	16.1	16.9	-0.82	22.5	17.7	4.84
Allan Houston	65	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	6	0	16.2	17.2	-1.05	20.6	23.2	-2.66
Chris Mills	45	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	1	10	16.2	16.6	-0.45	22.7	18.4	4.27
Charlie Ward	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	2	8	14.4	18.3	-3.94	23.5	18.6	4.91
Charles Oakley	62	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	8	-4	16.0	17.9	-1.87	20.4	23.5	-3.10
John Starks	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	5	2	16.8	15.8	1.01	20.0	22.5	-2.53
Buck Williams	40	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	7	-2	17.3	15.4	1.90	19.9	22.2	-2.21
Chris Childs	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	10	-8	18.3	14.4	3.94	18.6	23.5	-4.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ATL 100, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAS 84, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%