NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	84		Excitement	4.2 [973]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): +9.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.2 [540]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (PHI): -7.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	68%	0.02	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Charles Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	21	46%	0.01	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	31	51%	0.08	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	6	47%	0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.4	27.5	14.7	26.0	1.8	28.4	121.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.2%

PHI +6.4%

SAS -11.0%

PHI +26.1%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.6	90.3	109.8	102.3
season	15.8	15.9		104.3	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		98.2	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	17.0	14.2	15.1	15.5
PHI	15.7	15.0	15.2	16.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amal McCaskill	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	13.1	15.7	-2.52	13.2	15.9	-2.64
Cherokee Parks	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	13.1	15.7	-2.52	13.2	15.9	-2.64
Stephen Jackson	30	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-21	25	13.8	16.3	-2.47	14.0	16.4	-2.38
Terry Porter	34	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-15	13	15.5	15.5	0.04	16.2	15.4	0.85
David Robinson	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-8	-1	16.9	13.9	2.97	16.1	15.1	0.96
Steven Smith	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-4	-9	16.0	14.9	1.05	15.9	15.4	0.56
Charles Smith	30	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-6	-5	17.1	14.7	2.35	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Malik Rose	43	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-2	-13	14.8	16.1	-1.31	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Tony Parker	59	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-2	-13	15.5	15.5	-0.04	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Tim Duncan	80	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	15.4	15.9	-0.52	16.0	13.8	2.21
Antonio Daniels	76	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-3	-11	15.2	16.8	-1.58	16.2	13.5	2.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	82	84	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	1	15	15.9	13.5	2.43	15.3	17.4	-2.18
Matt Harpring	48	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	-3	23	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.7	15.3	0.40
Derrick Coleman	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.06	14	3	11	16.9	13.4	3.51	16.2	14.1	2.06
Eric Snow	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	8	1	15.4	16.1	-0.65	15.6	15.3	0.24
Dikembe Mutombo	56	59	0.34	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	4	9	15.2	16.4	-1.19	15.8	14.9	0.93
Aaron McKie	53	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	8	1	15.2	16.4	-1.21	15.5	15.4	0.04
Speedy Claxton	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	6	5	16.3	15.1	1.11	14.4	16.4	-2.05
Samuel Dalembert	12	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	16	-15	14.3	15.9	-1.53	16.6	15.3	1.32
Corie Blount	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	19	-21	15.5	15.8	-0.28	15.4	15.5	-0.17
Jabari Smith	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.0	15.8	-2.85	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Vonteego Cummings	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.0	15.8	-2.85	13.2	15.6	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 67, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 78, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 71, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%