NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	87		Excitement	3.2 [1103]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +7.3%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	1.2 [952]		LVP	Mario Elie (HOU): -9.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.02	18	59%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Stephens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	16	59%	0.02	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.05	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Mario Elie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	46%	-0.03	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	72%	0.12	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	59%	0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.03
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	12	56%	0.08	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	14	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	11	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	23.3	15.8	25.9	1.5	27.2	120.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +46.8%

HOU -10.5%

SAS +2.9%

SAS +7.9%

SAS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	15.6	92.6	106.4	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.5	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.2		97.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.8	15.0	15.8	15.1	15.4
SAS	16.9	13.2	14.1	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Stephens	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	8.3	15.9	-7.59	18.1	15.0	3.18
Othella Harrington	15	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-19	25	15.4	15.4	-0.04	17.9	14.6	3.30
Matt Maloney	43	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-14	15	15.5	15.4	0.14	15.7	14.8	0.91
Brent Price	21	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-10	7	14.0	15.9	-1.91	14.3	15.5	-1.15
Matt Bullard	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-12	11	14.4	16.0	-1.51	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Eddie Johnson	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-2	-9	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.2	15.2	0.01
Emanual Davis	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	2	-17	15.9	15.0	0.91	14.3	16.0	-1.66
Mario Elie	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-6	-1	15.7	15.1	0.62	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Charles Barkley	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	2	-17	16.2	13.4	2.83	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Clyde Drexler	73	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	15.9	14.0	1.91	15.5	14.3	1.15
Kevin Willis	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	3	-19	15.2	16.3	-1.15	14.9	16.2	-1.29

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Johnson	85	86	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-6	25	15.0	17.2	-2.23	15.9	10.4	5.53
Sean Elliott	72	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-8	29	14.3	18.2	-3.95	16.3	12.2	4.05
David Robinson	62	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.13	19	-6	25	14.0	17.6	-3.58	16.4	13.4	2.97
Tim Duncan	79	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-3	19	14.7	17.7	-3.01	16.1	11.4	4.79
Jaren Jackson	68	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	4	5	15.6	14.3	1.29	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Malik Rose	8	8	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	10	-7	16.6	15.1	1.56	15.5	15.4	0.07
Monty Williams	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.30	-7	20	-27	17.3	14.1	3.24	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Cory Alexander	24	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.18	-3	16	-19	14.8	15.3	-0.50	12.3	16.4	-4.09
Will Perdue	25	23	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	13	-13	17.4	14.4	2.99	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Chuck Person	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.9	14.9	2.97	7.5	16.2	-8.67
Carl Herrera	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	19.8	14.9	4.86	6.2	15.8	-9.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 69, POR 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 109, WAS 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DEN 88, IND 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%