NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	8.8 [123]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +20.7%
Dallas Mavericks	88		Comeback	3.1 [221]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -52.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.00	5	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	14	64%	0.19	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	38%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Salvadori	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.07,0,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	17	61%	0.05	4	-0.14	10	70%	-0.08
Mitch Richmond	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	0.01	-0.10	0.02	18	53%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	6	87%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.13,0.24,0.2,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	17	60%	0.32	2	-0.20	1	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	64%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Eric Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.32,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.42	-0.42	-0.19	-0.26	-0.03	18	35%	-0.27	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.05
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.52	-0.52	-0.17	-0.35	0.00	16	34%	-0.44	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	24.0	15.5	24.5	2.5	28.3	120.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.3%

DAL -14.4%

SAC +14.2%

SAC +5.2%

DAL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.6	96.7	96.7	102.5
season	15.2	15.8		98.5	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		104.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	17.7	14.2	17.0	15.6
DAL	15.1	14.2	17.1	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	71	72	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-8	17	15.0	17.5	-2.51	16.3	14.4	1.86
Michael Stewart	55	56	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	-4	9	15.8	15.2	0.62	16.9	14.3	2.65
Anthony Johnson	81	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	-3	7	15.4	16.6	-1.19	16.3	12.5	3.81
Corliss Williamson	92	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.6	0.0	15.59	15.9	0.0	15.89
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	-6	13	14.3	17.4	-3.08	16.0	15.7	0.36
Terry Dehere	42	41	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.37	-8	9	-17	17.2	14.2	3.04	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	11	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	4	-7	16.6	15.4	1.19	12.5	16.3	-3.81
Bobby Hurley	17	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	7	-13	17.9	15.1	2.89	14.3	16.2	-1.94
Kevin Salvadori	37	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	5	-9	15.2	15.8	-0.62	14.3	16.9	-2.65

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	54	54	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-4	7	16.7	14.8	1.91	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Hubert Davis	43	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-10	19	15.8	16.0	-0.19	17.1	14.2	2.97
Robert Pack	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-9	17	15.7	16.6	-0.89	15.8	14.8	1.01
Eric Riley	33	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	1	-3	15.1	16.3	-1.25	17.1	14.7	2.33
Khalid Reeves	18	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	8	-17	15.6	16.0	-0.42	14.8	15.8	-0.94
Dennis Scott	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-3	5	15.8	16.9	-1.13	15.5	16.7	-1.25
A.C. Green	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	4	-9	15.9	16.0	-0.08	14.9	17.8	-2.93
Michael Finley	82	82	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.52	-11	10	-21	16.1	13.9	2.22	15.5	16.2	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.3,0.14,0.2,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	91.2%
SEA 96, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	90.2%
BKN 101, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.28,0	89.6%