NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	101		Excitement	9.1 [133]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): +28.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	3.7 [117]		LVP	Evan Turner (POR): -20.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.28	0.01	0.28	0.01	19	49%	0.33	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.07
Quincy Acy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	14	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	12	37%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Wiley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06
Allen Crabbe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.11	-0.02	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	7	79%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.04,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.10	0.01	16	51%	0.29	2	-0.21	5	80%	0.09
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.01	16	50%	0.18	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	20	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caleb Swanigan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	11	33%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.00	-0.21	0.00	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.6	22.6	14.5	25.4	1.8	35.2	123.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +37.1%

POR -7.3%

POR -11.1%

BKN +33.2%

POR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	POR	NBA	BKN	POR	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	14.7	102.0	98.0	107.5
season	14.7	15.2		105.8	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.1		105.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.3	12.4	13.9	14.8	13.6
POR	15.5	14.8	17.4	14.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	63	63	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-6	16	13.4	13.8	-0.38	15.7	15.1	0.61
Allen Crabbe	64	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.48	7	-3	10	13.1	14.4	-1.25	15.6	15.4	0.26
D'Angelo Russell	61	62	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-5	14	12.5	15.3	-2.84	15.6	15.5	0.11
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	81	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	3	-2	13.3	14.8	-1.48	15.2	17.1	-1.87
Quincy Acy	48	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	-7	18	13.7	13.5	0.24	16.3	14.8	1.51
Spencer Dinwiddie	50	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	7	-10	15.0	12.1	2.90	14.7	16.3	-1.59
Jacob Wiley	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	13.8	13.5	0.26	17.3	15.3	1.97
Joe Harris	42	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	14.5	12.8	1.71	15.7	15.4	0.23
Caris LeVert	37	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.12	-3	7	-10	14.0	13.3	0.65	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Timofey Mozgov	39	39	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	13	-22	13.3	13.7	-0.47	15.5	15.5	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caleb Swanigan	10	11	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-9	14	15.7	15.5	0.19	14.9	13.4	1.51
Shabazz Napier	42	40	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-3	2	15.1	15.9	-0.79	13.5	13.6	-0.07
Jusuf Nurkic	54	52	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-7	10	15.4	15.7	-0.30	13.1	14.1	-1.03
Maurice Harkless	68	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.20	4	-8	12	15.5	15.5	-0.03	13.3	14.2	-0.88
CJ McCollum	70	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-9	14	15.6	15.4	0.11	13.6	13.4	0.17
Noah Vonleh	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	2	-8	16.2	15.2	1.03	13.0	13.9	-0.89
Evan Turner	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.2	16.1	-0.95	14.1	12.5	1.58
Pat Connaughton	33	35	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	6	-16	15.8	15.4	0.35	14.0	13.3	0.72
Ed Davis	45	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	3	-10	15.7	15.4	0.30	14.1	13.1	1.03
Damian Lillard	75	75	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.51	-12	8	-20	15.6	15.2	0.36	13.2	14.7	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 103, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.85,0.79,0.74,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.31,0.41,0.38,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.05,0	91.0%
CHI 94, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.04,0	90.6%
SEA 96, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	90.5%