NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	6.4 [479]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +18.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	1.7 [648]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -27.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.08	0.00	10	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	12	68%	0.15	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Hot Rod Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	14	45%	-0.06	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	7	89%	0.20	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.05	13	66%	0.17	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.04	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.06	0.02	11	59%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	86%	0.05	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.21	-0.05	0.00	17	44%	-0.13	6	-0.14	14	64%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	29.3	15.5	23.2	2.6	29.6	125.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.1%

CLE +5.6%

CLE +21.9%

PHX -7.3%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	15.6	15.6	97.8	112.0	102.5
season	15.0	15.4		105.3	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.9		97.0	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	17.9	17.0	15.5	15.8
CLE	15.8	14.0	15.8	16.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	30	32	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.12	10	-23	33	15.2	16.0	-0.87	18.2	14.2	3.99
Cedric Ceballos	36	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-14	15	14.4	16.6	-2.28	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Mark Bryant	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-9	5	17.7	15.5	2.20	12.7	16.0	-3.23
George McCloud	21	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-7	1	17.9	15.1	2.73	13.6	16.1	-2.43
Antonio McDyess	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-4	-5	14.9	17.1	-2.14	16.3	14.4	1.97
Jason Kidd	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-7	1	15.0	18.9	-3.97	15.8	14.5	1.31
Rex Chapman	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-10	7	15.6	16.4	-0.83	16.0	13.5	2.49
Clifford Robinson	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-4	-5	15.5	16.1	-0.55	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Danny Manning	49	49	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	5	-23	16.4	15.0	1.50	15.1	16.1	-1.06
Steve Nash	50	49	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.01	-21	8	-29	17.6	13.5	4.10	14.7	16.6	-1.93

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	67	67	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.20	19	-6	25	15.7	15.2	0.49	15.2	17.2	-2.05
Brevin Knight	65	66	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.12	20	-7	27	15.0	17.0	-1.99	15.2	17.2	-2.01
Derek Anderson	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.08	18	-5	23	15.1	17.1	-2.02	16.0	15.0	0.93
Henry James	18	20	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	2	9	14.8	15.7	-0.97	18.1	15.1	3.07
Vitaly Potapenko	38	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	6	1	15.1	15.9	-0.85	16.7	15.1	1.59
Danny Ferry	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	1	11	14.3	16.3	-1.96	15.8	15.7	0.08
Scott Brooks	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	13	-13	0.0	15.6	-15.55	5.0	15.9	-10.87
Wesley Person	84	81	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	17	-21	15.8	12.6	3.21	15.3	19.4	-4.10
Cedric Henderson	39	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	19	-25	17.2	14.4	2.78	16.1	15.5	0.61
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	44	42	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.01	-12	25	-37	16.7	14.5	2.29	16.0	15.5	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.71,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.82,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	92.5%
SAS 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	91.8%
PHI 92, BKN 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	91.8%