NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	4.7 [852]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +4.7%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	1.1 [832]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): -18.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	3	79%	0.04	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	7	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	2	30%	-0.04	3	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Terry Cummings	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.04	19	53%	-0.02	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	13	36%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	8	40%	-0.01	5	-0.18	4	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dontae' Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	10	55%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	16	50%	-0.07	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.7	30.2	15.5	31.5	1.6	27.2	135.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -0.9%

BOS +1.2%

PHI -1.9%

BOS +45.0%

BOS +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	15.6	84.7	101.0	102.5
season	15.4	15.1		99.7	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.5	13.0	14.2	14.9	14.9
BOS	17.5	14.7	12.0	13.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	26	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-16	15	14.4	15.1	-0.69	13.1	14.7	-1.60
Scott Williams	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-13	9	16.0	14.7	1.27	13.8	14.4	-0.60
Rex Walters	29	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-7	-3	12.9	15.8	-2.89	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Eric Montross	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-16	15	16.3	14.1	2.18	17.3	12.5	4.77
Terry Cummings	20	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-11	5	14.8	15.0	-0.16	13.0	14.6	-1.65
Jerry Stackhouse	70	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-11	5	15.5	13.4	2.15	15.1	12.3	2.78
Mark Davis	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-7	-3	13.8	15.6	-1.73	12.1	15.6	-3.52
Doug Overton	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-9	1	15.5	13.8	1.71	15.2	12.8	2.41
Jim Jackson	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-5	-7	15.1	14.4	0.76	14.5	13.7	0.79
Clar. Weatherspoon	66	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	-4	-9	15.0	14.7	0.36	14.6	13.6	0.97
Tim Thomas	56	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-3	-11	13.9	16.2	-2.29	12.5	16.5	-3.98

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	63	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.20	15	2	13	14.8	13.5	1.23	15.8	13.2	2.59
Bruce Bowen	59	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.04	22	-5	27	13.2	15.9	-2.66	15.7	13.9	1.79
Pervis Ellison	22	22	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	3	11	16.2	13.8	2.40	17.7	14.1	3.61
Andrew DeClercq	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	6	5	13.1	15.3	-2.16	14.9	14.9	0.00
Tyus Edney	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	2	13	11.4	15.6	-4.23	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Ron Mercer	56	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.12	13	4	9	13.1	15.9	-2.78	13.9	16.4	-2.57
Chauncey Billups	45	46	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	14	-11	16.1	12.8	3.26	16.3	13.7	2.63
Walter McCarty	62	62	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	13	-9	16.0	11.5	4.43	15.1	14.6	0.50
Dontae' Jones	14	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	14	-11	15.1	14.2	0.88	13.6	15.1	-1.51
Greg Minor	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	21	-25	14.7	14.2	0.59	13.3	15.5	-2.21
Dana Barros	27	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	21	-25	15.0	14.1	0.94	13.0	15.7	-2.66
John Thomas	46	43	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	24	-31	13.9	14.7	-0.83	13.9	15.8	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 82, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHX 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.8%
NJN 70, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%