NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.3 [506]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +10.7%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	3.3 [499]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -16.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	20	62%	0.18	5	-0.16	10	70%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	10	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	17	43%	-0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Rod Strickland	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	12	29%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	3	87%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	2	133%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.05	14	63%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	21	51%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	5	57%	0.00	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.6	16.2	24.7	2.4	31.2	125.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.8%

IND +23.5%

WAS -1.1%

WAS -8.1%

WAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.6	100.0	116.0	102.5
season	15.1	16.0		102.8	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.6		99.2	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	15.0	17.0	17.8	15.7
IND	14.8	17.0	15.0	14.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Williams	40	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-20	23	14.3	16.8	-2.42	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Harvey Grant	12	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-17	17	13.7	16.0	-2.36	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Darvin Ham	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-17	17	15.4	15.8	-0.36	16.0	15.2	0.82
Calbert Cheaney	72	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-7	-3	15.5	16.6	-1.19	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Rod Strickland	73	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.25	-16	-1	-15	15.7	15.7	-0.02	15.3	15.0	0.32
Tracy Murray	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-10	3	15.4	16.1	-0.68	16.1	14.5	1.63
Chris Whitney	19	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-16	15	15.7	15.7	0.02	15.0	15.3	-0.32
Juwan Howard	80	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.24	-19	2	-21	15.8	14.9	0.92	15.5	13.5	1.94
Chris Webber	82	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	0	-17	16.1	12.5	3.61	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Ledell Eackles	25	27	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	1	-19	18.7	14.6	4.12	13.7	15.9	-2.12

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	39	40	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	1	15	14.8	15.6	-0.83	16.8	14.9	1.92
Antonio Davis	48	47	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-2	21	15.2	15.3	-0.18	16.5	14.9	1.67
Jalen Rose	39	38	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-1	19	15.4	15.1	0.31	17.6	14.4	3.17
Dale Davis	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	4	9	14.8	16.1	-1.22	16.2	14.7	1.47
Fred Hoiberg	23	24	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	11	-5	14.7	15.5	-0.80	18.0	14.9	3.14
Rik Smits	66	65	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.17	10	7	3	15.6	14.5	1.02	15.0	17.4	-2.44
Reggie Miller	71	68	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.20	11	6	5	15.5	14.7	0.80	14.9	18.0	-3.14
Austin Croshere	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	14.5	15.3	-0.79	9.5	16.0	-6.50
Chris Mullin	51	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	15	-13	15.2	15.3	-0.17	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Mark Jackson	55	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.09	1	16	-15	15.6	14.8	0.83	14.9	16.8	-1.92
Mark Pope	12	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	25	-33	16.1	15.1	0.95	13.7	16.0	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.54,0.37,0.26,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, MIL 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
VAN 102, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.96,1,1,1	92.4%
MIN 79, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1	92.4%