NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	88		Excitement	6.6 [455]		MVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): +8.8%
Vancouver Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.4 [899]		LVP	Brian Shaw (GSW): -31.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	21	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Duane Ferrell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	15	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	58%	-0.04	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.04
Brian Shaw	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31	-0.16	-0.16	-0.00	13	36%	-0.11	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.10	-0.02	9	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	65%	0.09	4	-0.10	14	86%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	59%	0.03	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	24.6	15.4	28.0	1.6	38.6	135.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +40.9%

VAN +17.7%

GSW -8.8%

GSW -3.1%

VAN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	VAN	NBA	GSW	VAN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.6	92.6	99.0	102.5
season	15.6	15.1		92.9	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.0		109.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.4	16.6	16.0	14.1	15.8
VAN	13.6	16.1	11.2	17.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	26	26	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-12	17	16.4	15.6	0.87	18.0	13.0	4.97
Adonal Foyle	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	0.0	16.0	-15.96	7.0	14.5	-7.45
Tony Delk	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-12	17	14.3	16.6	-2.37	12.3	15.5	-3.20
Duane Ferrell	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-7	7	18.3	15.5	2.81	20.5	13.6	6.87
Muggsy Bogues	30	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-9	11	17.5	15.0	2.45	17.5	12.9	4.64
David Vaughn	23	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-5	3	17.5	15.2	2.23	12.6	15.0	-2.40
Joe Smith	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	16.0	14.8	1.18	14.8	12.6	2.24
Bimbo Coles	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	2	-11	15.0	17.5	-2.45	13.0	17.2	-4.17
Donyell Marshall	78	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	1	-9	14.9	19.8	-4.84	13.6	17.8	-4.12
Brian Shaw	61	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	5	-17	16.6	14.3	2.37	15.4	12.5	2.86
Erick Dampier	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	5	-17	15.6	16.4	-0.87	13.1	17.6	-4.43

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	58	57	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-7	21	12.9	16.6	-3.74	15.3	16.5	-1.14
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	78	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-9	25	13.8	17.1	-3.26	16.2	14.1	2.11
Antonio Daniels	61	61	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-4	15	13.4	16.1	-2.69	16.0	15.3	0.73
George Lynch	47	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	6	-5	15.6	13.2	2.43	14.3	17.1	-2.77
Otis Thorpe	66	65	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	0	7	13.8	15.7	-1.98	16.5	14.2	2.27
Bryant Reeves	66	67	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	8	-9	15.3	12.2	3.12	15.0	17.7	-2.73
Ivano Newbill	14	16	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	3	1	12.2	14.7	-2.53	18.1	15.3	2.73
Lee Mayberry	37	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	13	-19	15.4	13.7	1.68	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Pete Chilcutt	15	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	13	-19	14.5	14.3	0.19	16.3	15.7	0.58
Blue Edwards	37	37	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.13	-5	12	-17	17.1	12.7	4.36	16.4	15.4	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.97,1	93.6%
LAC 102, MEM 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.9%
MIN 94, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.98,1	92.8%