NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	7.1 [416]		MVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): +21.8%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.3 [781]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAL): -11.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.01	20	56%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	14	64%	0.21	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.04	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.07
Maurice Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Smush Parker	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	14	47%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	7	87%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.02	16	69%	0.24	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.06	-0.05	15	45%	0.13	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	18	56%	0.18	7	-0.19	12	75%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	25.3	17.5	24.6	1.8	36.6	133.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.5%

NYK +27.3%

NYK +22.8%

LAL -27.2%

NYK +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.4	102.2	106.5	104.5
season	15.3	15.7		106.3	103.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		106.7	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	15.6	16.2	14.9	15.2
NYK	14.2	15.7	15.0	19.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	22	24	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-14	23	16.8	14.7	2.13	19.2	14.8	4.41
Sasha Vujacic	48	49	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-6	7	14.3	16.2	-1.93	14.6	17.4	-2.80
Shammond Williams	1	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-2	-1	0.0	15.4	-15.36	6.0	16.0	-10.04
Jordan Farmar	31	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	17.3	14.1	3.11	19.2	14.3	4.89
Andrew Bynum	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	0	-5	15.0	15.3	-0.30	16.2	15.7	0.43
Ronny Turiaf	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-6	7	15.5	14.9	0.57	16.3	15.6	0.68
Maurice Evans	50	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	15.9	14.4	1.54	17.1	14.6	2.51
Lamar Odom	81	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-3	1	14.7	18.5	-3.80	15.8	16.9	-1.08
Smush Parker	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	4	-13	14.6	16.6	-1.98	14.1	20.3	-6.20
Vladimir Radmanovic	70	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	7	-19	15.1	15.5	-0.46	15.1	18.7	-3.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	87	85	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	2	1	15.7	19.0	-3.28	15.1	16.4	-1.33
Stephon Marbury	78	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	-3	11	15.7	16.9	-1.19	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Jared Jeffries	60	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	17.1	13.8	3.28	14.8	15.8	-1.02
David Lee	66	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	5	-5	16.1	15.5	0.64	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Channing Frye	48	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	-4	13	14.5	17.5	-3.05	14.8	15.6	-0.88
Eddy Curry	83	84	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	7	-9	15.3	21.3	-6.01	15.1	16.1	-1.02
Malik Rose	16	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	0	5	14.1	16.3	-2.26	16.9	14.8	2.11
Nate Robinson	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	3	-1	19.1	15.1	3.98	16.7	14.8	1.88
Renaldo Balkman	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	17.9	15.7	2.20	15.7	15.1	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 88, VAN 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.95,1	93.6%
IND 72, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MIN 100, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.95,1	93.2%