NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	6.2 [542]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +10.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	1.1 [980]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -14.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	17	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	68%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	62%	0.11	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	83%	0.07	7	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	7	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Kenny Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	15	47%	-0.10	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.04	14	66%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	14	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	17	51%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	15	51%	0.00	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	12	53%	0.02	6	-0.15	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	29.0	16.6	29.7	1.0	27.3	128.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +19.5%

SEA +13.6%

SEA +3.3%

SEA +15.3%

POR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	15.6	103.2	116.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.3		101.9	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.4		102.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	12.5	14.7	13.7	14.3
SEA	15.3	15.1	15.3	18.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	57	57	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-22	31	13.0	16.3	-3.25	16.6	15.0	1.59
Kelvin Cato	46	49	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.25	12	-25	37	14.1	14.5	-0.40	14.8	17.2	-2.44
Rick Brunson	13	16	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-19	25	13.5	14.5	-0.92	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Alvin Williams	50	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-8	3	13.3	15.5	-2.15	16.7	15.3	1.39
Isaiah Rider	82	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	14.5	13.0	1.55	16.1	15.4	0.76
Rasheed Wallace	82	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	1	-15	14.2	15.2	-0.95	16.0	15.7	0.26
Stacey Augmon	36	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-2	-9	15.8	13.5	2.32	16.5	15.6	0.91
Gary Trent	19	18	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	2	-17	16.9	13.7	3.20	17.3	15.7	1.60
Kenny Anderson	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	0	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.38	15.7	16.6	-0.86
Brian Grant	21	19	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.07	-24	11	-35	16.5	13.7	2.75	14.0	16.5	-2.47

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	74	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.05	21	-8	29	15.5	17.8	-2.35	14.5	13.8	0.62
Dale Ellis	48	47	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	-2	17	16.2	15.8	0.42	15.6	13.1	2.41
Sam Perkins	47	47	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	0	13	14.8	17.1	-2.27	16.2	12.5	3.63
Hersey Hawkins	73	75	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	6	1	16.5	14.2	2.34	13.7	16.6	-2.93
Vin Baker	76	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	4	5	15.4	18.4	-2.99	14.2	14.7	-0.43
Detlef Schrempf	74	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	4	5	16.6	13.6	3.03	14.0	15.8	-1.85
Aaron Williams	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.02	3	10	-7	15.8	16.0	-0.22	14.7	14.3	0.36
Greg Anthony	15	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	16	-19	15.1	16.1	-1.08	15.4	14.2	1.21
David Wingate	11	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	13.6	16.3	-2.65	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Jim McIlvaine	42	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	15	-17	16.6	15.5	1.19	12.8	15.5	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 82, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
DET 107, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%