NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	6.1 [592]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (OKC): +14.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Comeback	1.1 [1195]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -10.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray McCallum	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	11	77%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.04	5	82%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	58%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Derrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	15	44%	0.08	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sim Bhullar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	59%	0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	57%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.01	17	56%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.03	0.06	14	69%	0.13	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	19	52%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.05	0.04	19	64%	0.17	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	45%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.4	28.4	16.3	25.5	2.5	35.6	133.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +19.0%

OKC +8.0%

SAC -3.7%

OKC +25.2%

OKC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	15.1	104.0	118.4	104.2
season	14.9	14.5		103.7	105.7
opponent	15.0	14.8		103.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.9	14.4	12.7	14.4
OKC	14.7	14.1	15.0	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sim Bhullar	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	6.0	14.6	-8.56	20.0	14.7	5.25
Jason Thompson	76	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-11	9	14.0	15.6	-1.54	15.1	14.2	0.88
Reggie Evans	12	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-7	1	16.8	14.0	2.79	12.8	15.2	-2.41
Carl Landry	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-11	9	16.0	13.7	2.29	15.6	14.5	1.08
Andre Miller	50	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-8	3	14.3	14.5	-0.17	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Ben McLemore	71	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-12	11	14.5	14.0	0.59	15.4	13.6	1.85
Ryan Hollins	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-13	13	14.6	14.3	0.34	15.7	14.5	1.25
Ray McCallum	81	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-11	9	13.8	17.2	-3.40	15.2	13.6	1.52
Nik Stauskas	34	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.1	14.6	-0.50	14.2	15.2	-1.07
Derrick Williams	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	6	-25	13.7	15.3	-1.66	14.0	16.0	-2.08
Omri Casspi	57	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.02	-21	8	-29	15.4	13.1	2.28	14.6	15.2	-0.58

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	55	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-6	25	14.2	15.7	-1.50	13.5	15.5	-2.03
Nick Collison	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	1	11	13.8	15.7	-1.90	14.2	14.5	-0.31
D.J. Augustin	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	10	-7	14.9	14.8	0.10	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Dion Waiters	81	83	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	5	3	15.1	13.6	1.54	14.6	13.4	1.13
Russell Westbrook	78	79	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.07	12	1	11	14.7	15.6	-1.00	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Kyle Singler	14	13	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	10	-7	15.7	14.7	1.00	13.8	14.5	-0.71
Steven Adams	62	63	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	8	-3	15.3	14.1	1.27	14.9	13.5	1.39
Enes Kanter	66	67	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	4	5	14.6	15.5	-0.91	14.7	13.8	0.89
Andre Roberson	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	10	-7	15.3	14.7	0.59	16.4	13.5	2.96
Steve Novak	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	0.0	14.9	-14.86	0.0	14.5	-14.53
Jeremy Lamb	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	19.3	14.7	4.62	10.3	14.5	-4.18
Mitch McGary	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	19.3	14.7	4.62	10.3	14.5	-4.18
Perry Jones	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	19.3	14.7	4.62	15.5	14.4	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHH 75, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
POR 98, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%