NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	5.7 [640]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +11.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	1.8 [927]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -17.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.06	0.05	10	68%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	17	53%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	25	50%	-0.06	1	-0.01	8	87%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	5	17%	-0.07	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	9	33%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	10	82%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	15	61%	0.13	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	4	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Reggie Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	29.0	13.4	23.3	2.0	31.2	124.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +60.8%

MIN +20.8%

SAC -16.2%

SAC -17.1%

MIN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.6	98.9	112.2	102.5
season	15.2	14.8		98.5	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		104.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	18.7	14.6	17.6	16.3
MIN	15.9	12.6	16.8	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	10	10	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-12	13	18.0	16.1	1.86	12.1	15.9	-3.80
Michael Stewart	28	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-18	25	17.7	15.7	2.04	15.9	15.3	0.64
Lawrence Funderburke	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	17.1	15.7	1.40	15.6	15.4	0.29
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-8	5	17.6	14.7	2.93	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Anthony Johnson	57	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	15.0	18.6	-3.64	15.8	14.8	0.97
Corliss Williamson	56	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	16.0	16.8	-0.79	16.0	14.6	1.40
Mitch Richmond	77	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-1	-9	16.2	17.1	-0.86	15.7	14.6	1.04
Billy Owens	76	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	2	-15	15.9	18.4	-2.47	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Olden Polynice	59	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	7	-25	16.1	16.9	-0.82	15.0	16.3	-1.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	70	71	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.15	20	-9	29	16.2	13.1	3.06	15.8	18.1	-2.32
Terry Porter	28	27	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	0	11	15.6	15.4	0.24	18.1	15.6	2.57
Tom Gugliotta	81	83	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	1	9	15.4	16.2	-0.83	16.1	19.1	-3.05
Stephon Marbury	69	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	4	3	16.3	12.8	3.54	15.6	19.1	-3.43
Chris Carr	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	6	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.18	14.9	17.9	-3.01
Stanley Roberts	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	4	3	15.3	15.6	-0.29	15.1	17.6	-2.48
Sam Mitchell	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	12	-13	15.1	15.8	-0.67	17.7	15.2	2.53
DeJuan Wheat	18	17	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	10	-9	14.4	15.7	-1.29	18.5	15.9	2.62
Cherokee Parks	32	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	14	-17	14.9	15.8	-0.94	18.1	15.3	2.75
Tom Hammonds	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	9	-7	3.0	15.8	-12.76	24.0	16.2	7.83
Reggie Jordan	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	11	-11	1.0	15.6	-14.64	34.0	16.1	17.86
Doug West	16	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	13	-15	13.9	15.8	-1.87	17.4	16.1	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	93.8%
GSW 90, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
BKN 113, MIN 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%