NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	92		Excitement	6.4 [527]		MVP	Daequan Cook (MIA): +31.1%
Miami Heat	96		Comeback	1.8 [691]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -26.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.09	0.04	19	67%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Sean Singletary	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	0.01	17	26%	-0.16	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.17	0.00	10	80%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	10	67%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	19	52%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.7	27.6	15.8	24.0	0.8	31.5	124.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +59.9%

CHA -9.2%

CHA -13.7%

MIA +13.9%

CHA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIA	NBA	CHA	MIA	NBA
this game	17.1	17.2	15.5	109.5	114.3	106.4
season	16.5	16.0		103.0	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.7	16.0	16.6	17.4	17.1
MIA	19.2	15.3	17.7	16.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-7	10	16.4	17.2	-0.82	18.6	17.0	1.56
Nazr Mohammed	6	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-6	8	18.3	17.0	1.31	19.7	16.9	2.86
Sean Singletary	7	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-3	2	18.1	17.0	1.12	19.1	17.0	2.16
Cartier Martin	24	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-2	0	17.5	17.0	0.53	19.1	16.3	2.78
Raymond Felton	75	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.28	2	-6	8	17.0	18.1	-1.11	17.0	18.2	-1.17
Emeka Okafor	56	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	4	-12	17.2	17.0	0.18	16.8	17.7	-0.91
Boris Diaw	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	17.0	17.9	-0.86	17.1	17.7	-0.61
DeSagana Diop	43	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-6	8	17.6	16.6	0.95	18.1	16.1	1.94
Juwan Howard	55	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	6	-16	16.7	17.9	-1.24	16.0	19.5	-3.55
D.J. Augustin	69	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	5	-14	17.1	17.1	-0.02	16.6	19.7	-3.12

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Chalmers	62	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-7	18	16.4	19.3	-2.91	17.0	17.5	-0.48
Udonis Haslem	62	63	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-7	18	16.4	19.3	-2.91	17.0	17.5	-0.48
Joel Anthony	59	59	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-6	16	16.7	18.3	-1.59	17.1	17.1	0.06
Shawn Marion	60	60	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-6	16	16.4	19.1	-2.74	17.0	17.5	-0.47
Dwyane Wade	56	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-3	10	15.9	19.7	-3.82	17.1	17.2	-0.11
Daequan Cook	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	4	-4	19.4	15.9	3.47	17.6	16.9	0.71
Jamaal Magloire	25	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	10	-16	18.3	16.7	1.59	17.1	17.1	-0.06
Michael Beasley	22	21	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	11	-18	19.3	16.4	2.91	17.5	17.0	0.48
Chris Quinn	22	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	11	-18	19.3	16.4	2.91	17.5	17.0	0.48
James Jones	22	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.01	-9	13	-22	19.5	16.3	3.16	17.0	17.2	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%
MIL 86, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.6%
DET 85, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.5%