NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	6.9 [419]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): +17.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	1.9 [667]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -16.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	8	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.03	-0.05	11	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	23	48%	0.16	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00
Reggie Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.05	0.04	15	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	41%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	13	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Devean George	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	10	83%	0.24	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	12	56%	0.21	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.03	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	4	30%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	14	32%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-0.05	16	35%	-0.06	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	30.5	15.6	28.0	2.5	29.6	132.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.8%

CHA +16.7%

CHA +39.2%

GSW -24.7%

CHA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	14.2	16.4	15.3	96.8	106.3	106.0
season	13.4	16.2		106.5	103.0
opponent	15.4	14.8		101.8	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	13.4	14.0	15.4	14.2
CHA	15.1	16.6	17.3	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-9	7	14.1	14.3	-0.20	15.1	16.6	-1.58
Anthony Morrow	50	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.03	-3	-8	5	13.6	15.0	-1.33	17.0	15.7	1.30
Corey Maggette	50	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-7	3	13.6	15.0	-1.42	15.7	17.1	-1.33
Chris Hunter	64	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-6	1	13.7	15.5	-1.86	17.5	14.2	3.26
Devean George	16	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-8	5	16.1	13.8	2.28	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Reggie Williams	37	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	15.5	13.4	2.17	15.0	17.3	-2.34
CJ Watson	55	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	14.9	13.2	1.69	16.5	16.2	0.32
Anthony Tolliver	85	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.08	-14	3	-17	14.1	15.9	-1.79	16.5	15.2	1.23
Stephen Curry	93	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.2	0.0	14.24	16.4	0.0	16.38

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	82	81	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.09	22	-11	33	15.2	23.8	-8.65	14.1	15.3	-1.26
Gerald Wallace	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.04	17	-6	23	16.4	16.3	0.09	14.4	13.9	0.50
Stephen Jackson	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	-5	21	15.7	18.8	-3.06	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Raymond Felton	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	6	-1	16.7	15.5	1.25	13.0	17.3	-4.36
D.J. Augustin	53	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	8	-5	16.6	16.1	0.51	15.3	12.9	2.47
Stephen Graham	30	27	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	5	1	15.1	17.0	-1.82	16.0	13.5	2.54
Derrick Brown	6	4	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	11	-11	11.0	16.7	-5.74	17.7	14.1	3.67
Theo Ratliff	37	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	7	-3	16.8	16.1	0.71	13.5	14.7	-1.25
Tyrus Thomas	32	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	16	-21	18.3	15.4	2.87	15.1	13.8	1.26
Tyson Chandler	14	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	14	-17	19.8	15.8	4.00	13.5	14.3	-0.81
Gerald Henderson	19	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.16	-10	21	-31	19.2	15.7	3.54	13.2	14.5	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%
TOR 92, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.2%
IND 88, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,1	92.2%