NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	4.7 [851]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (MIL): +12.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	1.2 [763]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -10.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Reid	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	85%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Corey Beck	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
B.J. Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.02	0.05	24	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	10	82%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.04	13	73%	0.15	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jerald Honeycutt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	73%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	13	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	20	53%	0.10	6	-0.13	5	80%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.0	25.2	15.4	24.3	1.8	31.6	122.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +44.7%

CHH -9.2%

MIL +18.8%

CHH -7.6%

MIL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.9	15.6	98.9	110.9	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		104.0	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.9		102.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.0	17.2	14.9	11.4	14.2
MIL	14.3	19.6	15.1	19.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Reid	32	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.19	9	-19	28	13.1	14.8	-1.71	19.7	15.5	4.23
Corey Beck	14	14	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-11	12	17.7	13.6	4.12	16.9	16.9	-0.09
Dell Curry	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-10	10	13.3	15.0	-1.65	15.9	17.9	-1.97
David Wesley	68	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-6	2	13.7	15.7	-2.00	16.8	17.2	-0.36
Matt Geiger	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-7	4	14.9	13.8	1.12	17.2	16.8	0.34
Vlade Divac	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	14.9	13.4	1.48	17.0	16.8	0.19
B.J. Armstrong	11	11	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	13.1	14.4	-1.27	17.6	16.8	0.80
Bobby Phills	50	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	0	-10	15.0	13.3	1.65	17.9	15.9	1.97
Anthony Mason	75	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	6	-22	14.4	13.6	0.82	15.7	21.9	-6.16
Glen Rice	88	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.19	-12	2	-14	13.8	21.0	-7.17	16.8	18.8	-1.97

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	85	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-9	28	16.4	24.0	-7.65	14.3	12.7	1.62
Terrell Brandon	82	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-3	16	16.4	21.4	-5.01	13.3	21.5	-8.16
Glenn Robinson	80	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-3	16	16.1	22.2	-6.11	13.9	15.9	-1.93
Ray Allen	81	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-3	16	16.3	21.6	-5.34	14.6	11.3	3.34
Ervin Johnson	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	2	6	15.7	19.0	-3.29	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Andrew Lang	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	7	-4	18.6	16.1	2.48	14.7	14.0	0.69
Jamie Feick	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	19.8	16.8	3.03	15.3	14.1	1.20
Jerald Honeycutt	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	11.0	17.0	-6.00	5.0	14.4	-9.42
Michael Curry	22	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	15	-20	22.5	15.2	7.25	14.6	14.1	0.52
Elliot Perry	10	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	13	-16	21.4	16.4	5.01	21.5	13.3	8.16
Armen Gilliam	6	5	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	18	-26	26.2	16.3	9.88	15.8	14.1	1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CHA 102, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 78, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%