NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	4.3 [963]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +20.9%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.2 [960]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -14.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	15	73%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.04	0.02	-0.12	10	50%	0.11	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	9	64%	0.08	1	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	14	35%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	9	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.22	0.03	0.04	13	84%	0.25	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	14	66%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	28.8	18.7	29.2	2.8	31.2	136.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +24.7%

TOR +6.5%

TOR +9.5%

TOR +6.9%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.5	91.1	114.4	106.4
season	16.1	15.1		101.7	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		108.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	16.6	17.6	16.0	16.4
TOR	15.8	15.4	15.1	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	26	27	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-23	25	15.8	16.6	-0.83	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Greg Buckner	25	25	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-21	21	17.2	16.1	1.16	16.5	15.3	1.22
Marko Jaric	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	13.5	16.6	-3.11	16.1	15.6	0.59
Kyle Lowry	67	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	-5	-11	16.0	17.7	-1.74	16.5	13.0	3.43
Mike Conley	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-16	11	17.7	16.0	1.74	13.0	16.5	-3.43
Hakim Warrick	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-6	-9	17.0	15.6	1.40	14.6	16.9	-2.34
Marc Gasol	58	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	-7	-7	15.7	17.7	-2.05	15.9	15.1	0.82
Rudy Gay	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	-2	-17	16.0	17.6	-1.53	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Darrell Arthur	62	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	-6	-9	16.9	15.2	1.67	15.9	14.8	1.17
O.J. Mayo	64	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.15	-23	2	-25	16.6	15.8	0.83	15.8	15.2	0.59

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.18	20	1	19	15.5	15.8	-0.34	16.0	17.2	-1.24
Jamario Moon	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	12	-3	15.9	15.0	0.93	16.4	16.4	0.04
Chris Bosh	67	69	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	6	9	16.1	14.2	1.92	16.2	17.0	-0.72
Kris Humphries	26	25	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	11	-1	14.7	16.0	-1.22	16.7	16.3	0.44
Andrea Bargnani	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.21	17	4	13	15.9	14.7	1.16	16.8	15.2	1.65
Anthony Parker	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	11	-1	16.6	14.8	1.81	15.7	17.0	-1.32
Jason Kapono	44	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	10	1	14.9	16.3	-1.35	17.6	15.2	2.31
Joey Graham	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.22	12	9	3	15.0	15.9	-0.93	16.4	16.4	-0.04
Roko Leni Ukic	34	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	20	-19	15.5	15.7	-0.16	16.5	16.4	0.09
Jake Voskuhl	20	19	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	21	-21	14.1	16.0	-1.93	15.1	16.7	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, CLE 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SAC 81, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
CHH 92, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%