NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	4.0 [982]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +15.8%
Charlotte Hornets	121		Comeback	2.4 [538]		LVP	Bobby Hurley (SAC): -12.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	10	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Salvadori	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	16	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	65%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Bobby Hurley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.04	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.03	0.03	18	77%	0.19	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	10	86%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.6	23.7	15.5	24.1	0.8	24.3	112.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +27.7%

CHH +12.5%

SAC -3.0%

CHH +12.9%

SAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHH	NBA	SAC	CHH	NBA
this game	15.8	14.1	15.6	107.4	123.5	102.5
season	15.2	15.7		98.5	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.3		102.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.7	15.2	19.7	13.4	15.8
CHH	17.0	14.8	13.9	11.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Salvadori	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	8.3	16.3	-7.93	10.8	14.3	-3.49
Olden Polynice	55	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-18	17	16.1	15.3	0.83	15.5	12.0	3.51
Terry Dehere	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	-8	-3	14.1	17.3	-3.21	12.2	15.7	-3.49
Bobby Hurley	32	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-10	1	16.0	15.6	0.41	12.6	14.9	-2.29
Lawrence Funderburke	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-9	-1	14.4	17.3	-2.91	12.2	16.1	-3.82
Mitch Richmond	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.16	-2	-17	15	16.4	14.4	1.94	15.2	11.8	3.37
Billy Owens	66	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-5	-9	16.1	14.9	1.19	15.4	10.8	4.66
Michael Stewart	34	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-2	-15	16.5	15.3	1.16	12.2	15.1	-2.86
Corliss Williamson	73	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-5	-9	16.4	13.7	2.64	14.1	14.1	0.03
Anthony Johnson	48	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	-3	-13	16.3	15.2	1.16	15.4	12.8	2.63

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	75	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.01	23	-4	27	14.6	12.6	2.02	17.2	11.3	5.88
Anthony Mason	69	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	1	17	15.2	11.4	3.78	16.8	13.4	3.42
Vlade Divac	51	48	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	9	1	15.8	12.3	3.49	17.4	14.0	3.39
David Wesley	50	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	11	-3	15.9	12.3	3.61	16.9	14.6	2.38
Dell Curry	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	5	9	12.2	16.2	-4.00	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Matt Geiger	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	10	-1	12.3	15.8	-3.49	14.0	17.4	-3.39
Corey Beck	14	14	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	14	-9	15.4	13.9	1.45	17.3	15.5	1.79
B.J. Armstrong	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.10	6	13	-7	11.0	15.8	-4.77	13.4	17.0	-3.62
Bobby Phills	47	45	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	22	-25	16.6	11.8	4.81	16.7	14.9	1.81
J.R. Reid	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	18	-17	11.4	15.2	-3.78	13.4	16.8	-3.42
Travis Williams	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.09	3	16	-13	12.0	14.6	-2.56	10.9	16.7	-5.80
Tony Farmer	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	10.8	14.3	-3.49	8.3	16.3	-7.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MEM 89, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 101, PHX 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%