NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	4.2 [970]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +11.5%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	2.9 [691]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -15.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.06	14	50%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	13	52%	-0.01	4	-0.13	14	64%	-0.05
Mike Miller	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.04	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.05	11	67%	0.13	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.03	15	74%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	67%	0.06	2	0.01	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	272.7	2.6	32.3	16.6	30.3	2.7	28.2	385.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +8.3%

SAC +13.0%

MEM -2.2%

SAC +32.3%

MEM -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.7	91.8	112.4	100.5
season	15.3	14.7		102.3	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.4	13.6	15.4	18.4	15.1
SAC	15.4	15.2	12.3	15.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	53	51	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-20	20	15.6	14.4	1.19	14.8	14.4	0.45
Bo Outlaw	41	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	-12	4	16.8	13.8	2.98	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Earl Watson	32	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.17	-9	-11	2	16.5	14.4	2.07	13.3	15.2	-1.89
Wesley Person	32	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.17	-9	-11	2	16.5	14.4	2.07	13.3	15.2	-1.89
Stromile Swift	34	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	-13	6	15.8	14.7	1.14	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Jake Tsakalidis	17	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-13	6	13.8	15.4	-1.60	15.6	14.4	1.23
Lorenzen Wright	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-13	6	14.3	15.6	-1.27	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Mike Miller	65	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-9	-2	14.4	16.5	-2.07	15.2	13.3	1.89
Jason Williams	65	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-9	-2	14.4	16.5	-2.07	15.2	13.3	1.89
Pau Gasol	65	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-9	-2	14.4	16.5	-2.07	15.2	13.3	1.89
James Posey	44	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	0	-20	14.4	15.6	-1.19	14.4	14.8	-0.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	64	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	8	4	14.6	14.6	0.00	14.2	16.8	-2.58
Brad Miller	65	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	2	16	14.0	15.8	-1.84	15.2	14.7	0.51
Mike Bibby	70	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	8	4	14.3	15.5	-1.26	14.2	17.5	-3.28
Vlade Divac	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	10	0	14.7	14.4	0.31	13.7	16.6	-2.91
Peja Stojakovic	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	5	10	13.9	16.2	-2.26	14.6	16.2	-1.62
Anthony Peeler	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	5	10	15.2	14.1	1.04	17.0	13.6	3.47
Darius Songaila	43	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	9	2	14.1	15.0	-0.97	16.1	14.2	1.90
Bobby Jackson	40	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.16	10	10	0	15.0	14.3	0.75	16.7	14.0	2.69
Tony Massenburg	28	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	17	-14	15.9	14.1	1.86	15.8	14.8	1.04
Jabari Smith	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	17.7	14.4	3.26	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Rodney Buford	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	18.7	14.3	4.43	15.8	15.0	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, CHH 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHI 80, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MEM 88, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%