inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 78 Excitement4.5 [882] MVPTracy Murray (WAS): +10.0%
Washington Wizards 95 Comeback1.5 [333] LVPGary Payton (SEA): -19.3%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.020.06787%0.071-0.021100%0.01
Vin Baker0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.07-0.010.051371%0.062-0.05540%-0.04
Eric Snow0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
James Cotton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Aaron Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jim McIlvaine-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Detlef Schrempf-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.001359%0.054-0.073100%0.01
Sam Perkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00550%0.002-0.042100%0.01
David Wingate-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.02337%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Hersey Hawkins-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00425%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Greg Anthony-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.030.02736%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Gary Payton-0.190,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.17-0.05-0.021528%-0.143-0.0620%-0.04

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.011364%0.1000.002100%0.00
Terry Davis0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.011070%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Ledell Eackles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.002100%0.0500.002100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.03-0.041343%0.042-0.032100%0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Darvin Ham00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.041747%0.022-0.02450%-0.02
Chris Webber0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.01-0.041238%-0.012-0.022100%0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.030.001641%-0.054-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.821.317.323.32.525.2119.5
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +21.0%
WAS +1.4%
WAS +12.4%
WAS +16.1%
SEA -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAWASNBASEAWASNBA
this game15.317.915.690.7109.2102.5
season15.315.1109.3102.8
opponent15.616.2102.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA13.817.913.716.615.3
WAS15.018.118.221.317.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Snow45-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-151313.715.4-1.6617.818.0-0.15
James Cotton45-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-151313.715.4-1.6617.818.0-0.15
Greg Anthony2121-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-192118.314.43.9619.717.42.27
Aaron Williams1516-0.15-0.350.200.14-10-7-317.714.82.9017.918.0-0.08
Detlef Schrempf6969-0.17-0.330.16-0.201-181914.717.9-3.2518.515.82.73
Hersey Hawkins5655-0.21-0.290.09-0.15-2-151315.614.80.8317.418.9-1.52
Sam Perkins5151-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-13915.215.6-0.4417.318.8-1.52
Jim McIlvaine2019-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-3-1115.515.30.2116.618.3-1.74
David Wingate1617-0.28-0.22-0.070.19-16-1-1516.715.01.6615.918.4-2.56
Vin Baker5355-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.16-5-12714.317.0-2.7018.217.40.80
Dale Ellis4849-0.34-0.16-0.180.13-16-1-1515.515.10.4618.717.01.63
Gary Payton7373-0.500.00-0.51-0.01-170-1714.917.5-2.5917.917.90.02

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy Murray46440.450.050.41-0.1320-32319.316.42.8917.213.43.87
Terry Davis62630.430.070.350.021431117.818.3-0.5314.916.5-1.56
Chris Webber72710.360.140.220.16710-318.415.92.5115.514.70.81
Calbert Cheaney66670.330.170.150.00116517.021.0-4.0915.813.62.19
Juwan Howard74740.290.210.080.0589-117.619.6-1.9714.619.7-5.03
Rod Strickland72710.290.210.070.0589-118.216.91.2214.718.3-3.55
Chris Whitney19190.210.29-0.07-0.08107317.318.1-0.8717.314.82.54
Ben Wallace980.090.41-0.33-0.03413-918.917.81.0614.615.4-0.79
Ledell Eackles12110.060.44-0.39-0.00215-1316.718.1-1.4813.315.6-2.37
Darvin Ham320.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1520.317.92.489.015.5-6.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 99, ORL 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
SEA 83, PHX 1110.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
MIA 87, CHA 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%