NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	5.8 [627]		MVP	Sherman Douglas (NJN): +11.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.6 [725]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -25.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	78%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Benoit	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.02	5	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.05	17	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	22	51%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Xavier McDaniel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	16	47%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Jack Haley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	4	89%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	10	45%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	59%	0.04	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.09	0.01	10	37%	-0.09	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.6	27.2	15.5	24.4	2.4	36.5	131.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +22.3%

NJN +2.5%

LAC -0.3%

NJN +26.4%

LAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAC	NBA	NJN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.4	15.6	115.6	103.4	102.5
season	15.6	15.5		104.9	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.4	16.7	18.3	15.6	16.7
LAC	14.3	16.8	13.6	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	52	54	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-3	18	17.6	15.6	2.02	15.6	15.1	0.52
Sam Cassell	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-2	16	16.5	17.4	-0.95	16.8	12.0	4.77
Kerry Kittles	69	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	2	8	17.4	14.4	3.02	15.0	16.8	-1.81
David Benoit	31	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	1	10	15.1	17.6	-2.56	16.3	15.0	1.36
Xavier McDaniel	37	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	11	-10	17.1	16.5	0.66	16.6	14.7	1.92
Kendall Gill	67	67	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	6	0	17.3	15.0	2.28	14.8	17.4	-2.63
Kevin Edwards	21	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	10	-8	14.4	17.4	-3.02	16.8	15.0	1.81
Jayson Williams	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	11	-10	16.9	16.6	0.29	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Yinka Dare	4	3	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	12	-12	18.5	16.7	1.84	19.3	15.3	4.04
Sherman Douglas	27	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	14	-16	17.4	16.5	0.95	12.0	16.8	-4.77
Jack Haley	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	10	-8	10.7	17.2	-6.51	11.3	15.7	-4.39
Chris Gatling	21	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	12	-12	15.7	17.1	-1.41	14.6	15.7	-1.10

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-12	12	16.6	15.2	1.41	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Brent Barry	73	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-17	22	15.3	15.9	-0.55	17.0	15.7	1.28
James Robinson	5	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-7	2	11.2	15.7	-4.48	14.3	16.9	-2.58
Darrick Martin	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-7	2	15.5	15.3	0.20	16.4	17.0	-0.65
Rodney Rogers	56	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-7	2	14.5	17.0	-2.50	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Lamond Murray	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	15.6	15.0	0.57	17.3	15.6	1.71
Pooh Richardson	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	15.3	15.5	-0.20	17.0	16.4	0.65
Lorenzen Wright	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-5	-2	15.5	15.2	0.23	17.0	15.8	1.22
Maurice Taylor	49	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	2	-16	15.8	14.9	0.91	16.0	17.6	-1.58
Eric Piatkowski	28	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	1	-14	16.4	15.0	1.46	16.2	17.0	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 114, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
MIA 109, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.7%
VAN 107, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.7%