NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	8.1 [199]		MVP	Dennis Scott (DAL): +14.8%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	3.1 [359]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -47.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Popeye Jones	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Slater	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	21	60%	0.09	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Respert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	22	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.10
Oliver Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	3	25%	-0.10	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.09
Damon Stoudamire	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.36,-0.48	-0.16	-0.32	-0.00	10	24%	-0.33	2	-0.15	5	80%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.01	19	55%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.5	24.4	15.7	20.2	2.3	36.5	121.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.1%

DAL +11.5%

TOR -2.1%

TOR -2.9%

TOR -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	18.7	16.6	15.6	111.0	114.8	102.5
season	15.5	15.8		98.7	98.3
opponent	15.5	14.8		104.6	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.4	17.0	19.8	21.1	18.7
DAL	18.6	15.7	14.5	17.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	56	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	1	-4	20.1	15.8	4.26	16.0	17.9	-1.94
Shawn Respert	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.28	6	-8	14	16.5	20.1	-3.54	18.0	15.7	2.31
Oliver Miller	19	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	0	-2	17.6	19.1	-1.48	17.8	16.2	1.55
Popeye Jones	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	0	-2	18.8	18.5	0.36	16.3	17.3	-0.98
Doug Christie	78	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	0	-2	18.8	16.2	2.60	16.7	14.2	2.48
John Wallace	80	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	18.2	38.5	-20.27	16.5	19.3	-2.83
Damon Stoudamire	65	64	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.43	-10	8	-18	19.1	17.1	2.02	15.8	19.8	-4.00

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	71	72	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-7	16	16.9	14.6	2.29	19.3	14.3	5.03
Chris Anstey	12	11	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	-2	6	19.8	16.0	3.79	20.8	18.4	2.42
Samaki Walker	55	56	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.52	-2	4	-6	17.0	15.8	1.17	18.6	19.0	-0.41
Michael Finley	71	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	16.1	20.0	-3.87	18.6	19.6	-0.94
Erick Strickland	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.48	-4	6	-10	17.5	15.6	1.96	19.4	17.9	1.52
A.C. Green	61	62	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	1	0	16.2	17.7	-1.52	19.2	17.3	1.81
Khalid Reeves	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	-5	12	15.6	17.5	-1.96	17.9	19.4	-1.52
Shawn Bradley	34	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	3	-4	15.5	17.4	-1.85	17.5	19.6	-2.15
Hubert Davis	20	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	6	-10	17.3	16.4	0.92	16.8	19.3	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.95,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1	92.0%
WAS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.74,1	91.6%
ORL 103, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.85,0.85,0.98,1	91.6%