NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	8.7 [135]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): +17.5%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	2.5 [433]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIL): -38.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.06	22	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Andrew Lang	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	5	79%	0.09	2	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Tyrone Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	5	57%	-0.08	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.12
Ray Allen	-0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3	-0.07	-0.23	0.00	17	42%	-0.24	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.39,-0.39	-0.15	-0.24	-0.00	18	36%	-0.24	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.02	8	71%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.00	0.04	11	85%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.00	3	0%	-0.16	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.07
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	16	47%	-0.03	5	-0.19	8	87%	0.02
Rony Seikaly	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.23	-0.09	-0.01	11	31%	-0.21	5	-0.10	10	60%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	26.4	16.7	30.1	2.5	42.4	141.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +58.1%

ORL +6.5%

MIL -12.4%

MIL -1.6%

MIL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.6	103.4	108.0	102.5
season	16.0	16.7		101.1	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.4	17.5	16.2	18.2	17.0
ORL	15.6	16.8	13.9	18.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	21	23	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.09	8	-12	20	17.5	16.8	0.68	18.7	15.1	3.60
Michael Curry	20	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-8	12	18.7	16.5	2.26	19.5	15.1	4.49
Elliot Perry	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-5	6	14.7	17.7	-2.98	17.6	15.7	1.90
Ervin Johnson	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	4	-12	16.2	17.5	-1.30	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Andrew Lang	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.48	9	-13	22	17.2	16.7	0.54	16.7	15.3	1.40
Glenn Robinson	83	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-3	2	16.7	24.0	-7.33	15.6	24.4	-8.81
Terrell Brandon	69	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	17.5	15.3	2.19	15.5	18.4	-2.97
Tyrone Hill	69	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	11	-26	17.5	15.1	2.40	15.3	18.8	-3.52
Ray Allen	72	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.36	-13	9	-22	16.7	18.6	-1.92	15.7	17.9	-2.22

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	58	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-4	12	15.4	17.6	-2.19	16.3	18.5	-2.13
Rony Seikaly	73	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-5	14	15.4	19.6	-4.15	16.8	18.0	-1.18
Anfernee Hardaway	68	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-5	14	14.9	20.4	-5.54	17.0	17.0	0.01
Bo Outlaw	76	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	1	2	15.9	17.5	-1.66	17.6	12.8	4.80
Mark Price	56	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-6	16	15.3	17.5	-2.26	15.7	19.3	-3.59
Darrell Armstrong	32	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	8	-12	17.1	15.5	1.54	18.3	16.2	2.06
Nick Anderson	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	2	0	19.6	15.0	4.56	17.7	16.8	0.86
Gerald Wilkins	21	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	11	-18	19.9	14.9	4.96	16.2	17.2	-1.09
Dan Schayes	31	28	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.03	-10	14	-24	17.8	15.1	2.71	18.4	16.3	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.67,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 115, PHX 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.72,1	92.0%
POR 100, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.68,0.98,1	92.0%
IND 110, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.68,0.92,1	91.8%