NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Excitement	8.3 [214]		MVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): +33.3%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	2.4 [410]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): -37.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.11	0.09	0.09	0.06	28	58%	0.25	3	-0.13	10	80%	0.03
Nick Collison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Andre Roberson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.09	0.01	5	69%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.16,0.16,-0.05,-0.06	0.03	-0.12	-0.03	26	55%	0.05	5	-0.11	8	87%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.33	0.33	0.21	0.12	0.00	9	92%	0.33	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.07	-0.00	11	83%	0.34	2	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.06	-0.01	19	63%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.15	0.00	6	71%	0.23	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.05
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	6	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.34,-0.37	-0.37	-0.07	-0.25	0.05	13	49%	-0.07	5	-0.31	11	55%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	33.2	16.4	30.4	2.4	39.5	147.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +75.1%

OKC -4.0%

OKC -4.5%

OKC -11.3%

OKC -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	15.1	117.3	124.5	105.2
season	14.4	14.7		107.8	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		105.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	13.1	13.2	17.2	14.3
PHX	15.4	14.0	15.6	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	52	52	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.13	2	-9	11	14.6	14.0	0.60	15.3	14.8	0.50
Andre Roberson	10	10	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-12	17	13.0	14.4	-1.44	19.8	14.6	5.24
Nick Collison	31	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-3	-1	15.3	13.9	1.41	14.8	15.2	-0.47
Jeremy Lamb	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	17.1	13.7	3.38	15.2	15.1	0.11
Kendrick Perkins	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	14.5	14.2	0.28	17.3	14.3	2.94
Reggie Jackson	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-4	1	14.2	14.5	-0.27	14.5	16.6	-2.17
Kevin Durant	88	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	14.1	15.8	-1.67	15.2	14.4	0.82
Serge Ibaka	71	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-3	-1	13.9	15.4	-1.59	15.1	15.1	0.02
Russell Westbrook	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	2	-11	14.1	14.8	-0.68	15.4	14.3	1.14
Derek Fisher	59	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	4	-15	14.0	14.7	-0.70	13.5	17.5	-4.02

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	81	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-1	9	15.5	13.1	2.39	14.0	15.5	-1.42
Eric Bledsoe	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-4	15	14.8	15.6	-0.81	13.3	16.5	-3.15
Goran Dragic	83	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	2	3	15.7	11.6	4.12	14.3	14.2	0.07
Markieff Morris	56	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	0	7	13.5	17.2	-3.63	15.4	12.8	2.65
Gerald Green	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	6	-5	14.3	16.7	-2.37	15.5	11.7	3.74
Shavlik Randolph	15	14	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	1	5	14.1	15.3	-1.13	11.5	14.8	-3.26
Channing Frye	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	6	-5	16.6	14.1	2.43	12.4	15.5	-3.11
Marcus Morris	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	3	1	14.3	15.6	-1.22	14.6	14.1	0.49
Miles Plumlee	34	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	8	-9	17.3	13.9	3.37	14.7	14.1	0.63
Ish Smith	11	12	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	14	-21	13.3	15.3	-2.05	16.7	14.0	2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	92.0%
GSW 92, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.57,0.84,1	91.8%
LAL 102, TOR 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.73,1	91.7%