NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	10.5 [37]		MVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): +11.8%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	6.0 [116]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -41.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.06
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Alvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	38%	0.02	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	17	49%	0.25	5	-0.37	5	80%	0.02
Gary Trent	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	0.00	7	28%	-0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.07,-0.14,-0.05,-0.18,-0.41	-0.16	-0.25	0.01	21	44%	-0.24	7	-0.17	3	0%	-0.15

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.12	0.12	-0.05	0.16	-0.00	15	48%	0.23	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.05
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	6	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	16	42%	-0.13	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	22	41%	-0.16	1	-0.02	12	42%	-0.07
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.18	0.02	13	56%	-0.11	5	-0.16	8	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	30.4	14.8	27.0	1.8	41.7	140.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -34.9%

NJN +18.8%

NJN +14.0%

NJN +52.6%

POR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	15.6	90.6	95.9	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		101.9	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.2	13.8	15.6	15.7	14.2
NJN	15.0	15.6	15.7	16.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	11	11	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.08	-1	-5	4	17.1	13.9	3.22	17.0	15.4	1.58
Gary Trent	33	34	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-4	2	14.5	14.1	0.37	14.1	16.4	-2.37
Kelvin Cato	19	18	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	15.9	13.8	2.13	18.1	15.0	3.02
John Crotty	35	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.32	6	-12	18	15.0	13.8	1.24	16.7	14.9	1.74
Rasheed Wallace	64	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.47	9	-15	24	14.3	14.2	0.13	16.9	12.8	4.10
Alvin Williams	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	1	-8	13.1	14.7	-1.60	14.0	16.2	-2.25
Kenny Anderson	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	6	-18	14.4	13.2	1.20	15.3	17.4	-2.06
Stacey Augmon	56	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	14.1	14.5	-0.45	16.1	14.9	1.26
Arvydas Sabonis	77	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	1	-8	13.8	15.9	-2.13	15.0	18.1	-3.02
Brian Grant	75	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	3	-12	13.7	16.2	-2.56	14.9	17.8	-2.86

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	75	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-6	18	15.4	16.4	-1.05	14.4	13.8	0.55
Chris Gatling	84	84	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.50	7	-1	8	15.6	15.6	-0.02	13.7	17.7	-3.92
Kerry Kittles	72	72	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-4	14	14.8	17.8	-3.02	13.5	16.5	-3.07
Sam Cassell	81	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-6	18	15.2	17.7	-2.50	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Jayson Williams	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	5	-4	16.4	14.2	2.19	14.9	13.2	1.67
Michael Cage	37	36	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	1	4	14.2	16.4	-2.19	13.2	14.9	-1.67
Kevin Edwards	16	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.00	-4	10	-14	18.1	15.1	3.03	14.9	14.1	0.81
David Benoit	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	10	-14	16.4	15.4	1.00	14.5	14.2	0.33
Sherman Douglas	25	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	12	-18	17.6	14.9	2.64	16.4	13.5	2.90
Xavier McDaniel	14	13	-0.28	0.79	-1.07	-0.20	-3	9	-12	15.7	15.6	0.14	16.3	13.9	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.27,1	91.3%
UTA 88, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.26,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.42,1	90.7%
PHI 112, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.69,0.36,0.14,0.41,1	90.7%