NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	96		Excitement	7.2 [349]		MVP	Danny Fortson (DEN): +12.7%
Vancouver Grizzlies	99		Comeback	10.3 [148]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (DEN): -34.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Fortson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	9	81%	0.16	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Johnny Newman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	17	59%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Bryant Stith	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	61%	0.06	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Joe Wolf	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Goldwire	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.35,-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.00	18	32%	-0.25	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	18	57%	0.13	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.08
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	10	39%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Sam Mack	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	74%	0.05	2	-0.07	9	56%	-0.06
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	9	40%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	14	33%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	24.6	15.3	28.7	2.8	34.2	130.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +23.2%

VAN +3.0%

DEN -3.4%

VAN +24.1%

VAN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	VAN	NBA	DEN	VAN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.6	99.0	102.1	102.5
season	16.2	15.1		96.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		109.1	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.3	13.6	15.2	16.0	14.8
VAN	13.3	15.2	15.4	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Washington	10	9	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-8	13	10.1	15.3	-5.20	11.1	15.3	-4.21
Joe Wolf	35	37	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-6	9	14.9	14.7	0.19	14.2	15.3	-1.11
Priest Lauderdale	14	15	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-8	13	13.6	15.0	-1.39	15.5	14.8	0.72
Danny Fortson	44	42	0.01	-0.52	0.53	0.01	0	-3	3	13.8	15.6	-1.81	15.1	14.8	0.34
Anthony Goldwire	18	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	2	-7	12.1	15.4	-3.26	15.2	14.9	0.36
Bobby Jackson	81	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-2	1	15.2	12.3	2.93	14.7	15.8	-1.01
Bryant Stith	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	2	-7	15.9	11.3	4.59	15.0	14.6	0.44
Dean Garrett	84	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	3	-9	15.2	11.8	3.37	15.0	14.5	0.54
Johnny Newman	71	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.51	-1	-2	1	14.3	16.1	-1.85	15.0	14.7	0.27

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	47	48	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.42	14	-11	25	15.3	14.6	0.64	15.2	14.4	0.80
Blue Edwards	50	51	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-7	17	15.3	14.5	0.85	15.1	14.4	0.62
George Lynch	45	45	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-6	15	15.6	14.4	1.17	16.0	13.7	2.27
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-2	7	14.4	17.7	-3.38	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Bryant Reeves	69	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	-1	5	15.0	14.6	0.40	15.0	14.2	0.80
Otis Thorpe	71	70	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	3	-3	15.0	14.7	0.37	14.9	14.3	0.60
Tony Massenburg	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	3	-3	15.0	14.9	0.08	18.2	14.6	3.62
Pete Chilcutt	20	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	12	-21	15.0	14.9	0.09	10.9	15.8	-4.92
Sam Mack	47	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	10	-17	14.5	15.3	-0.85	14.4	15.1	-0.62
Antonio Daniels	50	49	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.00	-11	14	-25	14.6	15.3	-0.64	14.4	15.2	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 110, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.73,1	92.4%
IND 92, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.77,0.98,1	92.1%
SAC 122, LAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.47,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.98,1	91.7%