NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	7.2 [378]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): +4.3%
Orlando Magic	93		Comeback	19.1 [23]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -17.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	11	64%	0.14	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.06
CJ Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	12	47%	-0.06	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,-0.18	0.12	-0.28	0.02	19	67%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	18	53%	0.22	4	-0.18	7	86%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.06	0.01	10	32%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	45%	0.04	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	0.01	16	47%	-0.01	1	-0.12	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	28.4	16.4	28.5	2.4	36.4	135.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.9%

ORL +11.2%

ORL +17.0%

IND -10.9%

IND -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.1	95.8	96.9	105.2
season	15.8	15.3		102.7	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.9	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	14.0	16.1	16.2	15.3
ORL	15.8	15.3	14.6	13.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	62	62	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-8	15	16.1	13.8	2.32	15.4	13.4	2.05
George Hill	58	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-8	15	15.5	14.9	0.57	15.6	13.4	2.22
Ian Mahinmi	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	3	-7	15.4	15.3	0.13	12.9	15.5	-2.60
Lance Stephenson	78	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-4	7	15.0	16.4	-1.42	15.1	12.7	2.43
Roy Hibbert	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-4	7	15.4	15.1	0.33	15.7	12.5	3.26
Paul George	69	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-6	11	15.4	14.9	0.56	14.9	14.2	0.65
Luis Scola	34	34	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	7	-15	13.8	16.1	-2.32	13.4	15.4	-2.05
Danny Granger	45	43	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	9	-19	15.5	15.1	0.41	13.6	15.6	-1.96
CJ Watson	39	39	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	7	-15	14.7	15.7	-0.97	13.0	15.9	-2.83

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	42	41	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.27	18	-17	35	13.5	15.6	-2.15	15.9	14.9	0.98
Victor Oladipo	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.53	3	-2	5	14.0	16.5	-2.47	15.1	15.7	-0.52
Tobias Harris	62	62	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-9	19	15.9	12.5	3.42	16.1	13.7	2.41
Nikola Vucevic	70	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.48	-5	6	-11	15.8	11.7	4.19	15.4	14.9	0.50
E'Twaun Moore	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-9	19	12.4	15.7	-3.29	15.4	15.2	0.17
Arron Afflalo	65	65	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.50	-11	12	-23	15.8	12.4	3.48	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Kyle O'Quinn	26	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	-5	11	11.7	15.8	-4.19	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Jameer Nelson	47	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	8	-15	14.7	14.8	-0.10	15.3	15.3	0.01
Glen Davis	50	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.16	-9	10	-19	15.6	13.8	1.78	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Andrew Nicholson	20	20	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	11	-21	13.5	15.0	-1.46	12.4	16.1	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.5%
DEN 96, VAN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.77,0.92,1	92.1%
DEN 108, MEM 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.53,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.0%