NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	122		Excitement	7.7 [310]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): +36.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	126		Comeback	12.2 [148]		LVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): -15.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	20	52%	0.15	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Rudy Gay	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	22	60%	0.18	2	-0.07	9	100%	0.07
Isaiah Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	16	70%	0.22	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Orlando Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ray McCallum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.01	12	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Ben McLemore	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.27	0.10	0.01	14	91%	0.40	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.34	0.34	0.13	0.20	-0.00	13	79%	0.42	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.22	0.05	0.01	8	110%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.10	-0.01	10	60%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	2	125%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	17	58%	0.09	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	26.5	15.6	26.3	2.7	32.5	130.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +102.5%

SAC -10.0%

SAC -33.0%

SAC -11.6%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	13.0	15.1	120.8	124.8	105.2
season	15.4	14.0		104.5	102.9
opponent	14.8	14.7		108.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.8	15.7	15.8	15.5
LAL	13.0	12.5	12.6	14.2	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	40	39	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.14	10	-14	24	16.0	15.1	0.93	12.9	13.1	-0.21
Quincy Acy	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-7	10	15.6	15.4	0.22	12.8	13.2	-0.41
Orlando Johnson	29	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-1	-2	16.1	15.2	0.90	12.1	13.5	-1.37
Ray McCallum	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-5	6	15.6	15.3	0.26	12.9	13.2	-0.29
Ben McLemore	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.17	-5	1	-6	15.9	14.9	0.98	13.5	12.4	1.15
Derrick Williams	83	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-1	-2	15.3	16.3	-1.06	13.2	12.6	0.60
Isaiah Thomas	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	2	-8	14.7	17.1	-2.43	13.0	13.2	-0.24
Rudy Gay	85	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	15.6	14.5	1.15	13.2	12.2	1.02
Jason Thompson	61	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.24	-14	10	-24	15.1	16.0	-0.93	13.1	12.9	0.21

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	33	32	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.42	16	-12	28	13.2	13.0	0.15	15.9	15.2	0.69
Wesley Johnson	77	77	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	13.0	13.2	-0.21	15.5	15.2	0.28
MarShon Brooks	54	52	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.47	5	-1	6	13.5	12.6	0.93	15.8	15.1	0.71
Jordan Farmar	60	57	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-1	6	13.4	12.6	0.78	15.9	14.9	1.03
Robert Sacre	10	10	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-4	12	12.1	13.2	-1.05	20.2	14.9	5.25
Pau Gasol	83	83	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	-2	8	12.8	14.0	-1.16	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Kendall Marshall	41	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	5	-6	12.6	13.4	-0.78	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Jodie Meeks	69	72	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.13	-1	5	-6	12.6	14.0	-1.44	15.3	15.8	-0.46
Kent Bazemore	58	58	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	10	-16	12.6	13.6	-1.01	15.3	15.7	-0.45
Chris Kaman	8	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	14	-24	16.4	12.8	3.61	12.1	15.8	-3.63
Jordan Hill	12	12	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.10	-13	17	-30	15.8	12.7	3.16	14.0	15.7	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.47,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.4%
MIN 82, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.43,0.58,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.96,1	91.8%
DEN 96, VAN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.77,0.92,1	91.7%