NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Excitement	6.9 [408]		MVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): +16.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	91		Comeback	9.1 [264]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -25.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	19	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	14	59%	0.09	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.08,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	13	48%	0.00	2	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26	-0.15	-0.10	-0.00	14	21%	-0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.10	0.00	7	73%	0.21	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	6	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	9	55%	0.14	5	-0.11	13	69%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	12	53%	0.07	4	-0.14	10	100%	0.04
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	26.1	15.7	23.4	2.5	41.5	138.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +34.1%

LAC +25.0%

MIN -16.3%

LAC +9.0%

MIN -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.4	88.2	100.0	105.7
season	15.9	15.6		102.2	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.8	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	16.7	17.3	16.5	16.5
LAC	16.7	15.3	16.1	11.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-10	11	11.7	17.5	-5.81	13.2	15.2	-2.04
Marko Jaric	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-6	3	16.9	16.2	0.66	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Al Jefferson	73	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-6	3	17.1	14.1	2.93	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Ryan Gomes	78	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-7	5	16.0	18.9	-2.96	15.1	13.7	1.32
Michael Doleac	36	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-5	1	15.5	17.0	-1.51	17.0	13.4	3.65
Corey Brewer	69	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-8	7	17.5	13.5	4.03	15.4	13.3	2.05
Sebastian Telfair	64	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-3	-3	16.2	17.1	-0.95	14.9	14.8	0.11
Rashad McCants	38	38	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.13	-15	6	-21	15.7	17.0	-1.30	13.6	15.8	-2.20
Craig Smith	60	57	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.25	-12	3	-15	17.6	14.4	3.19	14.2	15.9	-1.77

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richie Frahm	34	35	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.29	18	-9	27	13.2	15.8	-2.65	18.4	15.3	3.17
Brevin Knight	41	41	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-6	21	13.0	16.4	-3.38	16.6	16.3	0.28
Cuttino Mobley	71	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-3	15	13.9	18.2	-4.31	16.7	15.5	1.15
Corey Maggette	64	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	0	9	14.8	14.9	-0.08	15.6	18.3	-2.70
Chris Kaman	86	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	0	9	14.7	16.6	-1.87	16.3	18.3	-2.01
Josh Powell	20	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.13	2	7	-5	14.9	14.8	0.08	17.7	16.1	1.61
Quinton Ross	50	51	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	13	-17	15.7	13.8	1.83	15.8	17.2	-1.35
Al Thornton	39	40	-0.28	0.79	-1.07	0.01	-10	19	-29	17.2	13.1	4.10	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Sam Cassell	50	52	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.12	-6	15	-21	16.4	13.0	3.38	16.3	16.6	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.43,0.58,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.78,0.84,0.82,1	92.8%
LAL 112, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.46,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.96,1	92.7%
GSW 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.6%