NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	4.2 [934]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +8.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	1.4 [712]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -15.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	15	67%	0.09	1	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Lorenzo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Harvey Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	18	39%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	-0.00	12	37%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	17%	-0.07
Rod Strickland	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.01	0.01	11	30%	-0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	15	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	17	76%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	72%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	11	23%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	12	43%	-0.03	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	28.1	16.7	24.0	1.8	33.5	131.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.7%

PHI +18.2%

PHI +4.3%

PHI +0.6%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.6	83.5	98.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.4		102.8	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		102.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.8	14.6	15.0	14.0	14.3
PHI	12.8	14.2	15.0	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Williams	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	13.0	14.5	-1.51	14.6	14.1	0.45
Terry Davis	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-6	1	15.4	13.5	1.90	15.0	13.5	1.56
Chris Whitney	50	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-15	19	13.3	15.3	-2.02	14.8	13.6	1.12
Darvin Ham	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-8	5	14.7	14.2	0.43	15.3	13.9	1.39
Tracy Murray	60	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-6	1	13.8	15.0	-1.17	14.6	13.6	1.08
Ben Wallace	24	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-1	-9	13.1	14.7	-1.61	11.8	14.9	-3.14
Harvey Grant	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	15.0	13.5	1.52	14.8	13.4	1.41
Calbert Cheaney	76	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	14.2	14.6	-0.37	13.7	15.6	-1.93
Rod Strickland	78	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	1	-13	14.7	13.2	1.43	13.9	15.1	-1.22
Juwan Howard	88	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	0	-11	14.5	13.4	1.08	13.7	16.6	-2.96

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	36	36	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-7	25	14.6	14.0	0.62	14.9	14.0	0.87
Derrick Coleman	77	83	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	14.1	14.4	-0.22	14.3	14.2	0.09
Scott Williams	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-1	13	14.0	14.3	-0.29	15.0	13.9	1.15
Mark Davis	24	25	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	1	9	12.7	14.7	-1.96	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Tim Thomas	29	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	0	11	14.2	14.2	0.07	13.8	14.5	-0.69
Clar. Weatherspoon	64	65	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	9	-7	14.4	13.7	0.69	13.8	15.3	-1.54
Jerry Stackhouse	57	59	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	9	-7	13.6	15.0	-1.32	14.8	13.7	1.08
Jim Jackson	76	80	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	14	-17	14.8	12.3	2.52	14.4	14.0	0.41
Allen Iverson	75	80	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.22	-5	16	-21	14.3	13.9	0.42	13.9	15.9	-2.05
Eric Montross	16	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	12	-13	13.9	14.3	-0.38	14.7	14.2	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 73, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DAL 92, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHH 77, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%