NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	77		Excitement	3.2 [712]		MVP	Andrew Lang (CHI): +8.5%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.1 [530]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CHH): -9.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chuck Person	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	72%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	49%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Charles Shackleford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.02	5	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Bobby Phills	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	45%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Lang	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	82%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	74%	0.08	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.11	5	130%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	10	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	12	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	23.3	15.8	24.1	2.5	28.4	120.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.5%

CHH -3.6%

CHI +9.6%

CHI +17.9%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.8	88.5	106.8	99.6
season	15.7	16.7		99.2	90.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.8	18.6	16.9	15.7	16.4
CHI	15.8	15.7	18.3	16.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	23	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-14	11	13.2	17.6	-4.44	13.3	17.6	-4.24
Charles Shackleford	23	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-12	7	13.2	17.6	-4.44	14.4	17.2	-2.83
Travis Williams	18	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-10	3	13.3	17.3	-3.98	13.2	17.4	-4.17
Brad Miller	39	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-10	3	15.3	17.4	-2.05	15.1	17.5	-2.46
Chuck Person	57	58	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-9	1	16.9	15.6	1.23	17.6	14.4	3.15
Chucky Brown	32	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-7	-3	15.3	17.1	-1.73	14.9	17.4	-2.56
J.R. Reid	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-8	-1	17.6	15.1	2.53	17.4	15.4	1.99
David Wesley	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-7	-3	17.3	13.3	3.98	17.4	13.2	4.17
Derrick Coleman	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-5	-7	17.6	13.2	4.44	17.2	14.4	2.83
Bobby Phills	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-3	-11	17.6	13.2	4.44	17.6	13.3	4.24

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	64	62	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.17	26	-9	35	16.9	15.3	1.63	17.8	13.1	4.71
Randy Brown	59	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.12	22	-5	27	17.0	15.4	1.59	18.5	12.2	6.29
Ron Harper	48	45	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	-4	25	17.8	14.9	2.85	19.0	13.7	5.31
Andrew Lang	56	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	3	11	17.2	15.1	2.13	17.5	14.5	3.08
Dickey Simpkins	46	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	-2	21	15.7	17.3	-1.59	17.1	15.7	1.33
Mark Bryant	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	11	-5	17.1	16.2	0.98	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Brent Barry	48	49	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	18	-19	16.8	16.1	0.74	15.9	17.1	-1.23
Charles R. Jones	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	10.3	16.9	-6.59	10.5	16.9	-6.38
Kornel David	17	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	16.1	16.6	-0.45	10.5	17.9	-7.34
Rusty LaRue	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	22	-27	15.4	17.0	-1.59	12.2	18.5	-6.29
Bill Wennington	20	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	20	-23	12.8	17.6	-4.76	12.1	17.7	-5.63
Corey Benjamin	19	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	25	-33	15.6	16.7	-1.15	14.3	17.0	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 123, CHI 134	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHI 83, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,1	96.0%
IND 73, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%