NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	3.8 [1011]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SAS): +14.5%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	1.4 [973]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -15.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	12	46%	0.04	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.11	-0.02	0.12	18	68%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	0.07	23	50%	-0.08	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	10	90%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	100%	0.13	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	10	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	12	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	15	52%	-0.03	4	-0.06	24	58%	-0.04
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	25.2	16.5	28.3	1.8	32.3	132.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +49.8%

DAL -0.2%

DAL -1.9%

DAL -1.7%

SAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	15.5	95.8	107.2	100.9
season	15.2	15.9		104.6	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.3		96.5	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.1	19.0	15.6	12.1	15.2
SAS	13.7	13.7	17.9	13.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Alexander	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	8.7	15.5	-6.76	16.7	14.5	2.22
Loy Vaught	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-13	14	15.4	15.2	0.23	15.1	14.5	0.61
Gary Trent	40	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-14	16	15.4	15.1	0.38	14.7	14.6	0.10
Christian Laettner	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-4	-4	14.2	15.4	-1.25	12.6	15.0	-2.46
Greg Buckner	56	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-11	10	15.0	15.6	-0.64	14.7	14.6	0.08
Shawn Bradley	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-2	-8	16.7	14.1	2.68	16.7	13.0	3.70
Howard Eisley	84	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-8	4	14.1	23.0	-8.88	14.9	12.3	2.61
Hubert Davis	51	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	2	-16	16.6	13.7	2.86	13.1	16.3	-3.25
Michael Finley	89	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	2	-16	15.5	11.4	4.10	14.2	18.9	-4.64
Dirk Nowitzki	84	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	4	-20	15.0	16.8	-1.83	14.7	13.7	1.01

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-3	18	14.9	13.1	1.84	15.5	13.8	1.69
Danny Ferry	64	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-6	24	14.4	15.0	-0.53	13.8	17.8	-3.97
Tim Duncan	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-6	24	13.7	18.7	-5.04	15.5	13.8	1.70
Avery Johnson	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	-5	22	14.0	15.1	-1.07	19.0	12.3	6.66
Terry Porter	65	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	7	-2	15.0	13.7	1.30	13.6	18.4	-4.82
David Robinson	42	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	11	-10	17.1	12.7	4.37	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Antonio Daniels	66	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	13	-14	14.2	15.4	-1.18	15.5	14.7	0.72
Samaki Walker	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.16	-2	14	-16	15.1	14.3	0.83	16.9	14.2	2.61
Ira Newble	3	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	16	-20	6.3	14.9	-8.55	13.5	15.3	-1.77
Derrick Dial	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	19	-26	12.7	14.8	-2.05	10.4	15.6	-5.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 74, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SAC 83, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 103, BOS 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%