NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	3.8 [1077]		MVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): +17.6%
Boston Celtics	123		Comeback	1.6 [1282]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -9.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.19	-0.00	0.11	11	96%	0.09	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaron Blossomgame	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.03	3	78%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Deng Adel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Ante Zizic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	17	51%	0.09	5	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	9	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	4	-0.07	4	50%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.01	0.03	13	87%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.01	0.06	12	77%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	16	45%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	26.3	15.3	24.4	1.8	27.2	119.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.4%

BOS +7.7%

CLE -2.8%

BOS +15.6%

BOS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	12.7	14.3	102.0	121.8	109.3
season	15.5	13.9		106.3	109.9
opponent	14.7	13.9		106.3	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.3	17.0	15.8	15.0	15.8
BOS	13.5	11.1	13.0	13.3	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	37	36	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-25	30	14.3	16.7	-2.36	13.2	12.4	0.78
Deng Adel	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-17	14	15.2	15.8	-0.56	16.4	12.5	3.87
Channing Frye	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-22	24	14.0	16.7	-2.70	13.5	12.3	1.13
Cameron Payne	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-15	10	14.9	16.3	-1.37	12.9	12.6	0.32
Cedi Osman	70	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-16	12	15.4	16.7	-1.32	12.7	12.7	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-13	6	14.7	16.8	-2.05	12.9	12.6	0.33
Alec Burks	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-11	2	16.6	14.9	1.79	12.4	13.1	-0.73
Rodney Hood	50	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	-8	-4	17.2	14.4	2.83	11.9	13.5	-1.55
Jaron Blossomgame	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.21	-20	0	-20	15.7	15.8	-0.12	13.3	12.3	0.93
Ante Zizic	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.16	-22	2	-24	16.7	14.0	2.70	12.3	13.5	-1.13
Collin Sexton	64	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.22	-25	5	-30	16.7	14.3	2.36	12.4	13.2	-0.78

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	6	8	12.2	13.3	-1.04	16.4	15.1	1.28
Brad Wanamaker	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.24	22	-2	24	12.4	12.9	-0.53	16.3	15.4	0.89
Marcus Morris	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	6	8	12.3	13.2	-0.85	16.8	14.6	2.25
Aron Baynes	47	47	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	7	6	12.1	13.2	-1.11	16.6	15.1	1.54
Jaylen Brown	54	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	5	10	12.3	13.2	-0.96	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Jayson Tatum	64	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	14	-8	13.3	11.8	1.52	15.3	16.6	-1.22
Terry Rozier	63	62	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	19	-18	12.6	13.0	-0.44	15.8	15.7	0.12
Gordon Hayward	55	56	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	17	-14	12.8	12.6	0.21	14.5	17.4	-2.94
Daniel Theis	31	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.15	9	11	-2	14.0	12.2	1.84	14.6	16.3	-1.75
Robert Williams III	28	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	19	-18	13.0	12.6	0.33	15.7	15.8	-0.13
Guerschon Yabusele	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	14.7	12.5	2.13	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Semi Ojeleye	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	16.4	12.5	3.87	15.2	15.8	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NOH 66, HOU 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 96, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%