NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	83		Excitement	7.3 [343]		MVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): +19.2%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	3.0 [722]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -30.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	13	73%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Keith Closs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	7	28%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Rodney Rogers	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	15	30%	-0.06	5	-0.24	3	33%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Randy Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	13	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	7	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	8	73%	0.06	4	-0.14	10	90%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	11	53%	-0.04	1	-0.04	14	79%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.19	-0.07	-0.01	10	32%	-0.09	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	24.6	16.6	28.0	1.8	36.2	134.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -1.0%

ATL +27.6%

ATL +8.8%

ATL +12.5%

ATL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.6	89.2	97.8	102.5
season	15.5	16.1		101.0	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.1		101.5	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.5	16.6	14.0	17.3	16.1
ATL	14.8	15.4	16.0	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	36	35	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-13	20	16.0	16.1	-0.06	15.3	15.2	0.09
James Robinson	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-4	2	2.5	16.4	-13.86	1.0	15.6	-14.55
Darrick Martin	47	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	16.3	15.9	0.39	15.4	15.1	0.30
Rodney Rogers	78	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-5	4	15.9	16.7	-0.72	15.5	13.8	1.71
Eric Piatkowski	6	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	1	-8	14.7	16.2	-1.49	11.8	15.5	-3.64
Lamond Murray	16	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	16.7	15.9	0.75	16.9	14.9	1.99
Loy Vaught	82	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-4	2	16.3	14.2	2.14	15.3	14.4	0.99
Lorenzen Wright	25	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	17.5	15.5	1.94	15.0	15.3	-0.25
Brent Barry	89	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-5	4	15.9	20.7	-4.90	15.1	17.2	-2.11
Pooh Richardson	48	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	0	-6	15.3	16.9	-1.55	14.4	16.0	-1.55
Keith Closs	36	36	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	0	-6	16.8	15.6	1.16	16.1	14.7	1.46

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	77	78	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	0	6	15.4	14.3	1.12	16.3	15.0	1.27
Alan Henderson	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-1	8	15.7	14.9	0.78	17.1	15.2	1.84
Steven Smith	62	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	0	6	15.4	14.8	0.59	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	76	77	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	6	-6	15.3	14.9	0.36	16.1	16.1	-0.07
Dikembe Mutombo	74	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	8	-10	15.7	13.3	2.38	16.4	14.6	1.80
Christian Laettner	63	65	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	3	0	15.3	15.0	0.33	15.8	16.6	-0.73
Ed Gray	32	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	2	2	13.7	16.1	-2.38	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Randy Livingston	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	0	6	13.7	15.5	-1.80	14.1	16.5	-2.34
Chucky Brown	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	6	-6	14.3	15.4	-1.12	15.0	16.3	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.88,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.58,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.96,0.96,1	92.1%
MIA 98, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.1%
MIN 108, SAS 112	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.92,1	91.9%