NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	102		Excitement	3.6 [1049]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +14.5%
Golden State Warriors	71		Comeback	1.3 [957]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -13.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	15	67%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bison Dele	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	13	68%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	80%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	67%	-0.00	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	2	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	53%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.05	16	34%	-0.10	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	44%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	7	6%	-0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	25.2	15.8	27.4	2.4	26.0	122.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.7%

DET +14.0%

DET +6.9%

DET +1.3%

DET +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.6	108.5	77.2	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		102.8	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.9		102.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	17.7	16.4	16.0	16.3
GSW	15.6	15.0	15.6	12.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bison Dele	57	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	6	19	16.0	16.6	-0.56	15.3	13.7	1.64
Malik Sealy	47	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	15	1	14.8	17.7	-2.85	15.3	14.1	1.23
Lindsey Hunter	65	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	15	1	16.6	15.5	1.07	15.3	13.2	2.13
Grant Hill	66	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.34	26	5	21	16.7	15.3	1.33	15.1	13.8	1.32
Theo Ratliff	30	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	27	-23	15.5	16.6	-1.16	15.9	14.2	1.70
Jerome Williams	57	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.41	20	11	9	17.1	15.0	2.11	13.9	15.9	-2.04
Aaron McKie	51	49	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.37	17	14	3	16.8	15.6	1.28	13.6	16.0	-2.45
Grant Long	41	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.42	18	13	5	16.1	16.3	-0.19	13.8	15.5	-1.67
Scot Pollard	35	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.27	11	20	-9	16.6	16.0	0.59	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Don Reid	21	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	29	-27	14.8	16.7	-1.86	15.1	14.6	0.52

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-27	23	13.6	14.9	-1.28	12.6	16.8	-4.21
Tony Delk	16	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.22	-8	-23	15	13.0	15.1	-2.05	18.8	15.7	3.06
Felton Spencer	24	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.03	-4	-27	23	14.7	14.7	-0.04	17.3	15.8	1.51
Brian Shaw	37	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-25	19	13.4	15.6	-2.25	17.2	15.6	1.56
Adonal Foyle	25	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.29	-14	-17	3	13.3	15.2	-1.89	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Duane Ferrell	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-24	17	15.3	14.6	0.64	14.9	16.4	-1.51
Muggsy Bogues	31	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-17	3	13.5	15.3	-1.73	18.5	15.0	3.48
Bimbo Coles	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-18	5	15.3	13.8	1.50	14.9	18.0	-3.11
Donyell Marshall	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-14	-3	15.1	13.8	1.29	15.2	18.2	-3.02
Joe Smith	71	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.15	-18	-13	-5	15.4	12.4	3.00	16.3	16.2	0.08
Erick Dampier	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.26	-23	-8	-15	14.9	14.3	0.64	16.5	15.8	0.69
Latrell Sprewell	68	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.36	-27	-4	-23	15.2	13.3	1.90	16.2	16.3	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
TOR 101, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
POR 139, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%