NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	5.5 [678]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +8.3%
Golden State Warriors	90		Comeback	1.1 [912]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -17.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Chris Carr	0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Clifford Rozier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	4	37%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	16	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	24	51%	0.02	4	-0.07	9	100%	0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	15	34%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	19	46%	-0.02	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	8	43%	-0.09	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.04	25	37%	-0.15	1	-0.02	14	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	27.4	15.4	27.5	0.1	33.8	132.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +54.2%

MIN +6.6%

GSW -26.7%

MIN +18.5%

GSW -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	15.6	100.0	93.8	102.5
season	14.8	15.6		105.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.7		102.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	12.9	14.2	16.6	14.2
GSW	16.3	17.1	15.2	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-1	9	14.4	13.6	0.75	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Kevin Garnett	84	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	0	7	14.2	14.3	-0.12	15.8	15.0	0.77
Cherokee Parks	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	14.8	13.4	1.41	14.6	17.1	-2.54
Tom Gugliotta	80	80	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	2	3	14.4	13.1	1.39	15.1	18.4	-3.35
Terry Porter	39	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	4	-1	13.8	14.5	-0.69	15.8	15.6	0.24
Sam Mitchell	30	30	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	7	-7	13.6	14.5	-0.88	16.3	15.3	1.00
Doug West	16	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	1	5	13.7	14.3	-0.62	16.8	15.4	1.43
Stanley Roberts	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	5	-3	13.7	14.5	-0.82	17.1	14.6	2.54
Chris Carr	63	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	10	-13	14.4	13.9	0.54	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Clifford Rozier	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	0.0	14.4	-14.35	30.0	15.5	14.51

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Ferrell	14	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-12	17	15.8	15.6	0.16	13.3	14.4	-1.03
Muggsy Bogues	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-14	21	14.4	16.5	-2.11	14.4	14.1	0.32
Tony Delk	9	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	0	-7	16.6	15.6	1.00	14.8	14.1	0.66
Felton Spencer	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	16.0	15.4	0.60	12.7	15.1	-2.32
Joe Smith	67	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	15.1	16.9	-1.79	14.4	13.8	0.60
Erick Dampier	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-5	3	15.4	16.0	-0.60	15.1	12.7	2.32
Latrell Sprewell	87	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-7	7	15.6	16.6	-1.00	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Donyell Marshall	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-2	-3	15.1	17.4	-2.23	14.3	14.0	0.21
Adonal Foyle	37	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	9	-25	17.6	14.4	3.17	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Bimbo Coles	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	7	-21	16.5	14.4	2.11	14.1	14.4	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CHH 93, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.9%
CHI 99, BKN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	93.9%