NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	6.2 [525]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (BOS): +6.4%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	6.7 [226]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -37.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Rodman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	13	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	0.03	13	43%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Michael Jordan	-0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.22,-0.31,-0.37	-0.17	-0.19	0.01	23	45%	-0.31	3	-0.07	21	76%	-0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	12	58%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	26	54%	0.10	7	-0.18	5	60%	-0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	0.00	12	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.6	29.0	15.8	23.4	2.3	38.5	136.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.9%

BOS +2.6%

BOS +14.4%

CHI -1.3%

CHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.6	88.5	93.9	102.5
season	16.2	15.1		105.8	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.0	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	10.4	21.7	18.1	14.2	15.6
BOS	15.3	13.6	12.7	14.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	24	26	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.10	-2	-5	3	14.3	16.0	-1.72	12.7	14.6	-1.89
Randy Brown	31	32	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-5	3	15.5	15.6	-0.10	13.8	14.3	-0.41
Dennis Rodman	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-13	19	14.9	16.3	-1.38	14.4	13.8	0.61
Joe Kleine	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-5	3	2.0	15.7	-13.73	2.0	14.2	-12.25
Bill Wennington	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-5	3	2.0	15.7	-13.73	2.0	14.2	-12.25
Jud Buechler	17	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-7	7	16.9	15.3	1.65	14.9	13.9	0.94
Ron Harper	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	15.0	16.5	-1.48	14.3	13.9	0.42
Steve Kerr	47	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	17.9	13.4	4.53	13.1	15.1	-1.95
Toni Kukoc	72	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.37	-2	-5	3	14.4	19.0	-4.56	15.0	11.4	3.58
Luc Longley	46	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	3	-13	15.3	15.8	-0.45	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Jason Caffey	52	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	0	-7	16.5	14.5	1.96	14.3	13.9	0.35
Michael Jordan	82	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	1	-9	16.1	12.6	3.53	14.6	11.7	2.90

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	78	77	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.12	16	-9	25	14.6	12.4	2.16	16.1	13.4	2.76
Dana Barros	64	62	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-9	25	14.4	13.6	0.77	15.7	15.3	0.40
Travis Knight	71	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	8	-9	14.6	12.9	1.65	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Ron Mercer	59	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	1	5	14.7	13.2	1.48	16.4	14.4	2.03
Walter McCarty	41	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	1	5	14.5	13.9	0.59	15.9	15.4	0.53
Bruce Bowen	55	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	1	5	13.7	14.6	-0.90	15.6	15.5	0.11
Andrew DeClercq	25	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	-2	11	12.0	14.9	-2.90	18.5	14.5	3.95
Dee Brown	41	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.32	-10	17	-27	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.3	16.5	-2.24
Pervis Ellison	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	6	-5	13.6	14.2	-0.54	12.5	15.9	-3.36
Chauncey Billups	35	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	14	-21	13.3	14.6	-1.30	14.9	16.0	-1.01
John Thomas	13	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	14	-21	13.1	14.3	-1.21	10.5	16.2	-5.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, SAC 119	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
CHI 91, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,1	93.1%
NYK 89, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.0%