NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	4.2 [995]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +20.3%
Sacramento Kings	119		Comeback	6.8 [445]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -12.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.10	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	12	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	-0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	12	58%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	8	57%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	14	47%	-0.03	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.05	0.03	18	71%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.05	9	62%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	16	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	65%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Erik Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	29.4	16.5	24.4	2.3	26.3	124.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +44.5%

BOS -5.8%

BOS -13.3%

SAC +25.8%

BOS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	15.5	105.0	117.8	104.0
season	14.4	14.7		104.7	108.1
opponent	15.6	16.0		106.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.5	15.8	16.4	12.4	14.0
SAC	15.1	13.6	12.4	17.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-22	30	11.4	14.4	-3.00	19.7	13.8	5.93
Tom Gugliotta	5	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-11	8	12.6	14.0	-1.43	10.7	14.9	-4.28
Tony Allen	27	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-16	18	11.4	14.9	-3.45	15.4	14.4	1.06
Marcus Banks	33	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-15	16	12.9	14.5	-1.57	15.2	14.4	0.82
Ricky Davis	55	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.39	-21	7	-28	15.6	12.0	3.60	13.7	15.8	-2.05
Al Jefferson	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-4	-6	14.0	13.9	0.11	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Jiri Welsch	54	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-16	18	12.4	15.7	-3.29	15.8	13.2	2.56
Raef LaFrentz	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	0	-14	13.9	14.1	-0.15	15.0	14.0	1.02
Gary Payton	62	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	14.5	13.1	1.34	13.9	15.9	-2.00
Mark Blount	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	-5	-4	14.7	12.6	2.12	13.6	16.7	-3.09
Paul Pierce	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	1	-16	14.9	11.9	2.98	14.6	14.8	-0.19

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	83	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.24	27	-13	40	14.4	16.0	-1.59	14.5	11.1	3.42
Brad Miller	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.18	25	-11	36	14.4	15.3	-0.86	14.9	11.7	3.25
Peja Stojakovic	72	71	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-4	22	13.9	16.7	-2.85	14.4	12.9	1.45
Doug Christie	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-7	28	14.4	15.5	-1.15	14.1	13.6	0.47
Chris Webber	64	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	3	8	13.3	17.1	-3.73	14.7	12.8	1.91
Greg Ostertag	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	16.9	14.0	2.87	11.7	14.6	-2.92
Erik Daniels	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	16.0	14.6	1.40	7.7	14.4	-6.70
Maurice Evans	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	24	-34	17.8	14.4	3.39	9.1	14.4	-5.33
Kevin Martin	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	23	-32	17.8	14.4	3.39	8.7	14.4	-5.66
Darius Songaila	37	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.22	7	7	0	15.9	14.0	1.93	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Bobby Jackson	35	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.14	4	10	-6	15.3	14.4	0.95	15.1	13.3	1.76
Matt Barnes	24	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.22	-9	23	-32	15.9	14.3	1.60	12.1	14.5	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.92,1	93.2%
SAC 93, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%
NYK 98, ATL 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.2%