NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	131		Excitement	4.9 [814]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): +7.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	1.5 [1106]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -13.9%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	59%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	15	59%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	71%	0.09	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	25	51%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	21	59%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Frankie King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	29	60%	0.07	5	-0.10	9	44%	-0.03
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	45%	-0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	15	34%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.03	-0.06	17	52%	-0.03	8	-0.11	12	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	26.1	16.4	23.5	2.5	33.2	124.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +35.5%

WAS +9.2%

PHI -1.7%

WAS +6.9%

WAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.3	13.1	15.6	120.2	100.9	104.4
season	14.8	14.7		104.3	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.8		108.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	13.1	13.3	13.1	13.3
PHI	14.5	14.0	13.9	10.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	99	99	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.12	22	-1	23	13.1	15.6	-2.55	13.3	11.1	2.24
Chris Webber	97	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	2	17	13.5	11.2	2.29	13.5	10.5	3.04
Chris Whitney	44	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.24	25	-4	29	11.6	14.4	-2.80	12.5	13.6	-1.11
Jaren Jackson	52	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	4	13	13.3	13.2	0.08	12.0	14.2	-2.21
Harvey Grant	42	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	9	3	13.6	13.1	0.47	15.3	11.8	3.50
Tracy Murray	62	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.30	15	6	9	13.0	13.7	-0.77	12.0	14.6	-2.58
Calbert Cheaney	64	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	22	-23	13.3	13.3	-0.05	13.4	12.8	0.57
Rod Strickland	65	66	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	25	-29	14.4	11.6	2.80	13.6	12.5	1.11
Ben Wallace	20	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	21	-21	13.6	13.2	0.39	11.5	13.5	-1.94

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	53	53	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-24	27	13.1	13.2	-0.05	14.4	12.2	2.13
Frankie King	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	7.9	14.1	-6.23	10.6	13.8	-3.12
Doug Overton	54	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.25	-13	-8	-5	12.1	14.1	-2.00	13.1	13.5	-0.41
Michael Cage	49	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	0	-21	15.0	11.6	3.38	13.5	13.1	0.45
Clar. Weatherspoon	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-9	-3	14.0	11.3	2.68	13.2	13.5	-0.38
Allen Iverson	102	103	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	-2	-17	13.1	13.9	-0.77	13.1	15.7	-2.52
Jerry Stackhouse	103	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	0	-21	12.8	18.3	-5.50	13.2	14.8	-1.64
Mark Davis	92	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.20	-25	4	-29	13.4	11.5	1.91	13.5	12.1	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, BKN 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
SAS 101, NOH 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
GSW 109, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%