NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	1.7 [471]		MVP	Shawn Respert (TOR): +10.8%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	1.3 [715]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -18.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	10	77%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Rik Smits	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	23	48%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.08
Antonio Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	11	56%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Duane Ferrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.05	-0.04	5	33%	-0.06	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	6	38%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	59%	0.02	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.03
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	11	39%	-0.11	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	12	29%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	16	55%	-0.01	6	-0.14	8	87%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.03	17	32%	-0.15	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	28.3	16.4	21.8	2.5	30.5	124.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.2%

TOR -15.3%

IND +7.3%

IND +6.8%

IND +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.9	15.6	107.5	97.8	104.4
season	15.3	16.1		103.6	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.3		105.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	13.3	17.1	16.3	15.5
TOR	13.5	18.8	15.6	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	68	69	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-8	27	15.3	16.0	-0.70	16.4	14.0	2.39
Mark Jackson	69	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	15.0	16.8	-1.81	15.8	16.0	-0.13
Reggie Miller	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-1	13	15.0	17.0	-2.00	15.5	17.4	-1.91
Dale Davis	76	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	3	5	15.5	15.1	0.48	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Darvin Ham	9	10	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	1	9	9.6	16.1	-6.53	19.7	15.4	4.32
Antonio Davis	59	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	12	-13	15.4	15.6	-0.22	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Jalen Rose	54	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	10	-9	16.2	14.4	1.79	16.1	15.6	0.45
Erick Dampier	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	13	-15	17.6	15.1	2.50	13.3	16.3	-2.97
Fred Hoiberg	28	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	14	-17	16.4	15.0	1.35	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Duane Ferrell	16	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	12	-13	17.4	15.0	2.40	17.6	15.5	2.11

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Respert	60	62	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-20	29	15.2	17.1	-1.88	16.3	13.8	2.47
Marcus Camby	57	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-12	13	15.1	17.1	-1.97	16.3	14.0	2.29
Clifford Rozier	35	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-8	5	14.9	16.4	-1.49	14.5	16.1	-1.51
Sharone Wright	18	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	0	-11	19.7	14.9	4.75	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Popeye Jones	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	15.6	17.5	-1.82	15.3	16.6	-1.35
Doug Christie	57	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	3	-17	16.1	15.5	0.62	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Damon Stoudamire	88	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	15.9	14.7	1.23	15.0	24.7	-9.72
Carlos Rogers	60	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	6	-23	16.6	14.4	2.18	15.6	15.1	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0	94.8%
TOR 103, BKN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.1%
POR 105, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.0%