NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	7.9 [249]		MVP	Tony Delk (CHH): +37.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	38.5 [19]		LVP	Ricky Pierce (CHH): -31.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.06	0.32	-0.00	6	80%	0.42	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.05
Glen Rice	0.34	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.37,0.34,0.34	0.18	0.19	0.03	21	72%	0.39	2	-0.06	16	94%	0.04
Donald Royal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tom Chambers	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	64%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Rafael Addison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31	-0.14	-0.15	0.02	13	47%	-0.17	6	-0.14	6	83%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	10	85%	0.25	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.05
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	11	71%	0.23	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	20	52%	0.15	2	-0.12	4	75%	0.03
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	63%	-0.01	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Mark West	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	2	62%	-0.02	3	-0.12	4	25%	-0.05
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.18,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	15	62%	0.19	7	-0.37	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	29.6	15.8	29.0	2.5	41.5	2.4	17.2	162.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -3.4%

CHH +0.2%

CHH +16.6%

CHH +34.6%

CHH +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CLE	NBA	CHH	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.6	112.2	110.5	104.4
season	15.7	17.8		108.0	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.0		100.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHH	15.0	17.8	16.8	15.5	16.9	16.3
CLE	17.1	16.5	15.2	19.7	13.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	45	44	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.33	19	-14	33	16.4	16.2	0.24	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Glen Rice	92	90	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-2	9	16.2	17.5	-1.26	16.7	16.4	0.26
Donald Royal	39	38	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-2	9	17.2	15.8	1.39	17.9	15.8	2.13
Ricky Pierce	76	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	3	-1	15.3	20.0	-4.69	16.7	16.4	0.27
Matt Geiger	49	48	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	3	-1	17.6	15.1	2.51	14.8	18.5	-3.70
Malik Rose	38	36	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	1	3	15.0	17.1	-2.11	18.7	15.4	3.39
Tom Chambers	26	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	11	-17	15.3	16.7	-1.37	15.4	17.1	-1.68
Rafael Addison	16	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	5	-5	18.2	16.0	2.24	15.7	16.8	-1.16
Vlade Divac	46	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.17	-1	6	-7	16.3	16.3	-0.02	17.1	16.2	0.92
Muggsy Bogues	63	60	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	14	-23	16.8	15.4	1.47	16.4	17.0	-0.57

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Lang	41	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-2	-1	17.2	16.2	0.97	17.8	15.3	2.51
Vitaly Potapenko	55	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-9	13	17.7	15.2	2.49	16.5	16.0	0.46
Mark West	48	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-4	3	16.6	16.7	-0.08	15.9	16.8	-0.89
Chris Mills	88	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	16.6	17.3	-0.69	16.0	20.2	-4.28
Danny Ferry	82	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	4	-13	16.1	19.8	-3.62	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Terrell Brandon	89	92	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	2	-9	16.7	15.2	1.57	16.2	18.0	-1.79
Bob Sura	72	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.44	-6	1	-7	16.1	18.5	-2.42	16.3	16.3	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.96,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.28,0	89.8%
DAL 112, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.78,0.77,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.22,0.01,0	88.7%
MIA 106, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	88.6%