NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	9.5 [73]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +16.3%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	21.9 [72]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -41.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16	-0.00	0.16	-0.01	16	49%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	26	56%	0.12	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.07
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mario Bennett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.08	-0.13	0.01	14	63%	0.06	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.19	-0.03	-0.05	9	37%	-0.05	6	-0.12	6	50%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31	-0.11	-0.19	0.00	11	25%	-0.26	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.08

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	81%	0.15	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.01	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	20	54%	0.09	2	-0.18	8	75%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.03	-0.05	6	0%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.17	0.09	-0.26	-0.00	14	77%	0.04	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.42	-0.42	-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	17	39%	-0.16	6	-0.25	12	83%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	28.6	17.5	28.4	3.8	39.0	2.4	23.3	171.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +0.4%

LAL +4.9%

LAL +5.4%

LAL +38.1%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.6	105.0	102.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		110.0	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.6		101.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.0	18.3	14.0	15.5	15.0	15.6
DET	14.4	15.3	16.5	18.1	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	82	84	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.49	8	-6	14	16.2	12.7	3.46	16.5	13.8	2.78
Shaquille O'Neal	92	92	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.50	4	-2	6	15.5	16.5	-1.02	16.3	13.3	3.01
Rick Fox	91	91	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.51	1	1	0	15.4	16.8	-1.34	15.8	18.9	-3.13
Kobe Bryant	50	50	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	-1	4	14.5	16.6	-2.12	17.2	15.0	2.22
Nick Van Exel	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	1	0	15.6	15.4	0.21	15.7	16.9	-1.15
Derek Fisher	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	15.4	15.6	-0.21	16.9	15.7	1.15
Robert Horry	55	56	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	3	-4	15.2	16.0	-0.76	16.0	16.2	-0.22
Elden Campbell	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	6	-10	14.7	15.7	-1.02	13.4	16.4	-3.02
Mario Bennett	18	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	5	-8	18.3	15.0	3.38	13.2	16.7	-3.53

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	49	49	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.12	7	-9	16	14.7	17.4	-2.77	16.4	14.7	1.74
Don Reid	26	28	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-7	12	15.5	16.3	-0.83	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Charles O'Bannon	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	0	-2	19.0	16.0	2.95	8.0	15.6	-7.64
Steve Henson	1	0	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-2	2	1.0	16.2	-15.23	0.0	15.6	-15.56
Rick Mahorn	26	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-3	4	12.8	17.2	-4.46	16.7	15.2	1.51
Bison Dele	82	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	5	-12	16.8	13.1	3.73	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Grant Hill	97	96	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-2	2	16.0	17.5	-1.48	15.7	12.0	3.71
Lindsey Hunter	87	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	1	-4	15.9	17.5	-1.65	15.1	18.8	-3.78
Jerome Williams	58	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	4	-10	17.3	14.4	2.93	16.0	15.0	1.01
Joe Dumars	78	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	3	-8	17.1	12.6	4.49	15.5	15.9	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.96,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 110, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.04,0	89.8%
TOR 99, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	88.9%
MIA 106, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	88.6%