NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	4.3 [919]		MVP	Matt Geiger (CHH): +9.8%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	3.4 [207]		LVP	Joe Kleine (NJN): -11.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.03	-0.03	14	60%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Pierce	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	15	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	21	51%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Chambers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	10	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	15	51%	0.10	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	20	54%	-0.04	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	25.5	15.3	25.6	2.4	33.8	127.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +19.0%

CHH +13.2%

CHH +5.6%

CHH +13.4%

NJN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	15.6	100.0	93.5	104.4
season	15.7	15.4		108.0	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.0		106.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.5	17.1	15.2	17.0	16.2
NJN	14.5	15.6	17.5	11.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Pierce	79	79	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-3	12	15.9	18.0	-2.08	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Vlade Divac	83	83	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-4	14	16.6	13.3	3.29	15.1	11.7	3.40
Glen Rice	81	83	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-7	20	15.8	19.5	-3.75	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Muggsy Bogues	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-5	16	15.8	18.7	-2.92	14.8	14.5	0.27
Matt Geiger	57	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-7	20	15.2	17.8	-2.56	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Malik Rose	27	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	7	-8	18.5	15.3	3.22	14.6	14.8	-0.23
Rafael Addison	15	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	13	-20	19.3	15.7	3.61	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Tom Chambers	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	13	-20	16.6	16.2	0.47	16.5	14.4	2.15
Tony Delk	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	17	-28	16.7	16.0	0.63	14.1	15.0	-0.94

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Edwards	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-3	0	15.2	14.6	0.56	15.1	16.5	-1.34
Xavier McDaniel	27	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-8	10	14.3	14.9	-0.56	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Eric Montross	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-6	6	15.5	13.5	1.95	16.9	15.2	1.70
Sam Cassell	72	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.41	5	-11	16	14.1	17.0	-2.99	16.8	14.2	2.58
Kendall Gill	78	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-7	8	14.5	15.9	-1.43	16.4	15.5	0.89
Joe Kleine	25	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	5	-16	15.4	14.5	0.97	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Tony Massenburg	76	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	14.1	17.6	-3.57	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Kerry Kittles	25	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.05	-17	11	-28	17.0	13.9	3.05	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Jim Jackson	89	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	14.8	13.7	1.03	16.2	17.0	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 109, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	94.3%
MIA 106, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%