NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	109		Excitement	4.8 [871]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOH): +15.8%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	3.2 [721]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -13.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.05	-0.06	18	55%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.03	0.05	16	73%	0.20	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
James Posey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	79%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
David West	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	52%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Julian Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	10	70%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.03	0.06	21	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	22	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	27.4	16.5	28.3	2.5	27.4	127.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +53.8%

WAS -4.6%

NOH +14.3%

WAS -12.5%

WAS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	WAS	NBA	NOH	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.5	117.2	105.4	106.4
season	16.6	15.9		105.9	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.6		111.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.0	16.4	14.0	16.5	16.0
WAS	14.3	16.3	16.7	12.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	76	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	-0.00	24	-13	37	16.0	15.9	0.10	14.8	15.9	-1.08
Tyson Chandler	76	77	0.68	-0.18	0.85	-0.03	24	-13	37	16.0	15.9	0.10	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Rasual Butler	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-4	19	16.5	14.7	1.83	15.3	14.3	0.91
David West	72	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	0	11	16.4	14.4	2.05	15.3	14.0	1.21
James Posey	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	1	9	15.2	17.1	-1.87	14.3	16.1	-1.83
Julian Wright	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	10	-9	17.1	15.2	1.87	16.1	14.3	1.83
Ryan Bowen	21	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	11	-11	14.4	16.4	-2.05	14.0	15.3	-1.21
Devin Brown	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	15	-19	14.7	16.5	-1.83	14.3	15.3	-0.91
Hilton Armstrong	17	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.21	-13	24	-37	15.9	16.0	-0.10	15.7	14.8	0.91
Antonio Daniels	17	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.18	-13	24	-37	15.9	16.0	-0.10	15.9	14.8	1.08

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	16	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.10	-5	-6	1	15.7	14.8	0.91	13.8	16.5	-2.70
Darius Songaila	32	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-11	11	14.9	15.1	-0.19	16.8	15.5	1.30
Javaris Crittenton	25	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-3	-5	14.3	15.3	-0.98	13.8	16.8	-3.00
Mike James	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-17	23	15.0	15.0	0.00	16.6	15.1	1.52
Nick Young	25	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	-1	-9	16.5	14.4	2.08	14.5	16.5	-1.98
Juan Dixon	11	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-2	-7	16.6	14.8	1.86	18.0	15.7	2.30
Dominic McGuire	68	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-10	9	14.4	16.5	-2.08	16.5	14.5	1.98
Andray Blatche	61	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	0	-11	15.1	14.9	0.19	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Caron Butler	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-4	-3	14.6	19.5	-4.92	16.0	15.1	0.92
Antawn Jamison	85	84	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.20	-10	-1	-9	15.3	12.0	3.28	16.3	12.6	3.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 93, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
DEN 117, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
DEN 103, ORL 89	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%