NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	9.1 [116]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +27.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	107		Comeback	6.9 [63]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -18.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.28	0.03	0.25	0.00	9	50%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.06	-0.01	14	86%	0.49	6	-0.30	8	87%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.18	-0.02	0.21	0.01	9	55%	0.27	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Wayman Tisdale	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.01	12	80%	0.17	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.04
Danny Manning	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	4	89%	0.09	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Horacio Llamas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Hot Rod Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	53%	-0.06	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.03
Rex Chapman	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	22	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	7	80%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.13	0.01	13	69%	0.23	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	10	65%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	10	60%	0.17	2	-0.11	10	100%	0.08
Eric Snow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.13	0.00	12	61%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	20	47%	0.11	5	-0.30	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.9	1.6	28.0	15.8	26.1	1.8	33.1	143.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +66.5%

SEA -9.4%

SEA -1.8%

SEA -3.7%

SEA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.6	112.4	110.3	104.4
season	14.6	14.9		106.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.6		100.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	15.8	15.5	15.0	14.8
SEA	14.7	13.5	14.5	16.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	31	31	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.70	4	-2	6	16.0	14.2	1.80	13.5	15.5	-1.97
Kevin Johnson	89	89	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-7	16	14.5	18.4	-3.89	15.0	13.4	1.65
Rex Chapman	73	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-5	12	14.4	16.0	-1.59	15.1	14.1	1.03
Jason Kidd	90	90	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	14.4	20.3	-5.91	15.1	12.3	2.80
Danny Manning	51	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.64	-4	6	-10	14.6	15.1	-0.50	13.9	16.0	-2.12
Horacio Llamas	6	5	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	16.2	14.7	1.45	9.6	15.2	-5.57
Wayman Tisdale	58	59	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.13	-6	8	-14	15.4	13.9	1.47	15.4	14.2	1.20
Hot Rod Williams	87	86	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.18	-9	11	-20	15.1	12.1	3.01	15.4	10.9	4.49

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	30	28	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.14	11	-13	24	15.7	14.5	1.13	16.2	14.2	1.93
David Wingate	43	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.40	15	-17	32	14.3	15.4	-1.05	15.2	14.5	0.77
Eric Snow	1	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	2.0	15.0	-13.02	1.0	15.1	-14.09
Jim McIlvaine	28	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	13.7	15.4	-1.65	15.1	14.7	0.48
Larry Stewart	36	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	1	-4	14.2	15.3	-1.14	14.3	15.1	-0.86
Gary Payton	79	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	6	-14	15.3	12.9	2.38	15.1	13.8	1.26
Nate McMillan	54	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.60	3	-5	8	15.4	14.2	1.26	15.2	14.3	0.82
Shawn Kemp	76	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	5	-12	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.0	14.2	0.75
Hersey Hawkins	84	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.45	-7	5	-12	14.5	17.2	-2.62	14.5	16.7	-2.18
Sam Perkins	54	55	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.63	-8	6	-14	15.6	13.9	1.72	14.0	15.9	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.72,0	91.4%
DAL 101, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.84,0	90.4%
BOS 90, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,0	90.3%