NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	3.3 [1087]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +12.2%
Detroit Pistons	112		Comeback	1.0 [1206]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -9.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	6	94%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	65%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	15	49%	0.01	4	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
James Robinson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	8	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	18	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.02	15	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.04	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	78%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	11	62%	0.05	2	0.00	10	60%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.03	3	-0.08	11	73%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.0	30.2	16.5	25.5	1.8	25.1	124.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.9%

DET +2.1%

DET +2.7%

DET +8.5%

MIN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DET	NBA	MIN	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.6	103.2	117.9	104.4
season	15.5	17.1		103.3	107.6
opponent	16.2	15.5		102.0	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	16.0	13.7	14.7	15.0
DET	14.6	14.0	16.3	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jordan	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	10.4	15.2	-4.81	12.2	15.5	-3.33
Shane Heal	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	10.4	15.2	-4.81	12.2	15.5	-3.33
Cherokee Parks	18	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-3	-8	17.0	14.5	2.52	15.7	15.3	0.47
Stephon Marbury	64	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-9	4	15.2	14.4	0.90	16.0	13.8	2.25
Dean Garrett	67	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-7	0	14.7	15.5	-0.82	15.2	15.6	-0.38
Kevin Garnett	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-8	2	15.5	13.1	2.41	15.8	13.8	2.00
Sam Mitchell	44	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-4	-6	15.3	14.7	0.59	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Terry Porter	51	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	0	-14	15.1	14.8	0.22	15.5	15.2	0.27
Tom Gugliotta	79	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-4	-6	14.3	18.3	-4.03	15.5	14.9	0.51
James Robinson	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.9	15.0	-0.06	14.8	16.8	-1.96

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otis Thorpe	74	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	8	-2	15.0	16.5	-1.50	15.1	14.6	0.47
Aaron McKie	38	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-1	16	15.6	15.2	0.32	15.5	14.5	1.02
Grant Hill	78	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	4	6	15.1	16.6	-1.57	15.5	12.1	3.48
Lindsey Hunter	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	9	-4	15.1	15.9	-0.71	14.5	16.0	-1.43
Joe Dumars	76	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	10	-6	16.1	12.2	3.93	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Don Reid	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	3	8	15.1	15.7	-0.63	15.0	14.9	0.11
Terry Mills	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	9	-4	16.0	14.6	1.42	15.2	14.7	0.43
Michael Curry	24	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	8	-2	14.7	15.6	-0.87	14.3	15.2	-0.80
Theo Ratliff	3	3	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	10	-6	22.3	15.1	7.20	11.7	15.1	-3.40
Jerome Williams	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	7.5	15.5	-8.03	5.0	15.1	-10.06
Litterial Green	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	7.5	15.5	-8.03	5.0	15.1	-10.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIL 85, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
VAN 97, DET 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%