NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	3.1 [1166]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +11.7%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.2 [1088]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIL): -17.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.03	20	60%	0.11	2	-0.02	10	100%	0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	11	77%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
David Noel	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	12	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.02	-0.04	13	23%	-0.06	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	25	66%	0.16	5	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	63%	0.08	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	14	53%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	30.0	14.8	24.1	2.3	26.4	124.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +34.8%

MIL -9.8%

CHI +9.9%

CHI +13.1%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.4	89.5	115.8	104.5
season	15.2	14.5		105.3	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.9	14.7	14.0	16.6	15.5
CHI	15.1	14.7	16.7	12.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damir Markota	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	16.3	15.4	0.84	13.6	14.9	-1.34
Ersan Ilyasova	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-20	15	17.2	15.3	1.91	12.2	15.0	-2.80
David Noel	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-20	15	17.2	15.3	1.91	12.2	15.0	-2.80
Mo Williams	65	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-20	15	14.8	16.9	-2.09	15.2	14.0	1.22
Brian Skinner	36	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-11	-3	16.0	15.2	0.75	13.6	15.6	-2.10
Dan Gadzuric	10	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-13	1	17.9	15.2	2.68	15.6	14.7	0.88
Andrew Bogut	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-20	15	14.8	16.6	-1.78	15.6	13.4	2.20
Ruben Patterson	52	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-18	11	15.3	15.7	-0.44	16.3	13.0	3.31
Charlie Villanueva	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-14	3	15.4	15.9	-0.48	15.2	13.8	1.40
Charlie Bell	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.37	-24	-1	-23	16.3	14.8	1.51	13.4	16.2	-2.78
Steve Blake	33	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.30	-23	-2	-21	16.0	15.2	0.76	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Michael Redd	82	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-12	-1	15.2	17.4	-2.18	14.7	15.3	-0.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.22	24	1	23	14.8	14.8	-0.04	15.6	15.2	0.41
Luol Deng	79	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	3	19	14.5	16.4	-1.96	15.8	14.3	1.45
Thabo Sefolosha	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.32	25	0	25	14.1	15.7	-1.58	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Andres Nocioni	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	8	9	14.1	15.8	-1.80	15.1	16.1	-1.06
P.J. Brown	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	13	-1	16.3	12.7	3.65	15.9	15.0	0.90
Ben Wallace	79	79	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	13	-1	15.2	12.8	2.40	15.1	17.6	-2.55
Kirk Hinrich	41	42	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	24	-23	15.6	14.2	1.45	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Chris Duhon	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	24	-23	15.4	14.8	0.62	16.6	15.4	1.22
Adrian Griffin	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	13.6	14.9	-1.34	16.3	15.4	0.84
Viktor Khryapa	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	20	-15	12.2	15.0	-2.80	17.2	15.3	1.91
Malik Allen	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	20	-15	12.2	15.0	-2.80	17.2	15.3	1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 97, DET 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
WAS 87, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SAC 92, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%