NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	3.0 [1163]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +10.6%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	1.0 [1217]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (ATL): -7.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	14	59%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Travis Hansen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	15	60%	0.03	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	6	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	7	81%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	4	112%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.03	9	75%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Jamison Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	16	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.6	25.1	15.7	22.2	2.5	35.4	130.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.7%

IND +6.5%

ATL -2.6%

IND +10.8%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.7	103.4	113.2	100.5
season	15.3	16.7		98.2	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		94.7	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	17.5	16.0	15.0	16.1
IND	16.1	15.2	18.3	14.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	60	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-17	23	15.1	18.1	-3.05	16.1	15.6	0.54
Jacque Vaughn	61	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-17	23	16.5	15.2	1.26	16.0	15.7	0.27
Theo Ratliff	50	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-10	9	17.4	14.3	3.11	17.1	14.6	2.54
Dan Dickau	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	13.2	16.6	-3.40	13.6	16.4	-2.78
Lee Nailon	25	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.11	-12	1	-13	13.6	17.0	-3.45	13.9	16.8	-2.89
Jason Terry	71	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-8	5	15.7	17.5	-1.78	16.2	14.5	1.71
Stephen Jackson	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	5	-21	17.3	15.5	1.75	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	34	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	15.6	16.4	-0.84	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	16.9	12.9	3.98	16.4	13.9	2.50
Travis Hansen	33	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	1	-13	16.7	15.7	0.98	15.5	16.2	-0.64

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	42	39	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	15.3	16.4	-1.14	15.8	16.3	-0.41
Metta World Peace	72	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	6	-1	16.4	14.0	2.43	16.2	15.5	0.70
Fred Jones	49	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	6	-1	14.5	17.5	-3.02	14.9	17.4	-2.47
Jermaine O'Neal	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	-2	15	16.7	14.4	2.34	16.3	15.7	0.57
Kenny Anderson	46	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	0	11	16.6	15.3	1.30	15.8	16.4	-0.67
Anthony Johnson	45	41	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	11	-11	15.3	16.6	-1.30	16.4	15.8	0.67
Jeff Foster	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	4	3	16.6	15.3	1.25	16.9	15.2	1.69
Al Harrington	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	6	-1	14.7	16.4	-1.71	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Reggie Miller	46	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	4	3	17.2	14.7	2.49	17.8	14.2	3.62
Primoz Brezec	17	16	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	14	-17	14.5	16.3	-1.79	14.1	16.5	-2.46
Scot Pollard	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	11	-11	13.0	16.1	-3.13	17.8	16.0	1.88
Jamison Brewer	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	15.2	16.0	-0.70	5.3	16.5	-11.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, DET 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
POR 113, HOU 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.72,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NOK 74, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%